Betting Guide
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How to Use the Head-2-Head…
Our unique Head-2-Head bet selector allows you to match-up the data of any two Premier League teams for an at-a-glance guide to every betting category – including Match Results, Goals, Corners, Bookings and Scorers.
For a quick demo of how the Head-2-Head can instantly highlight up to 8 winning bets every match, click here
Or for specific advice on how to cash-in, section-by-section scroll down through each betting category: Match Results/Goals | Corners | Bookings | Goal Scorers
Match Results/Goals
To highlight Match Result and Goals bets, match-up the Home and Away teams' data in each category. All the figures are shown as 'averages' to reflect the likely Goals totals per match.
Match-up the Home team's Average For figure v the Away team's Average Against figure. This will indicate how many Goals you can expect from the Home team. Then do the same for the Away team.
Let's take an example from earlier this season:
| Manchester United | v | Bolton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Average Goals For | 0.6 |
| 0.3 | Average Goals Against | 1.9 |
Firstly, the Home team… Manchester United had averaged between 2 and 3 (2.4) Goals For per match. While the Away team Bolton had conceded and average of about 2 (1.9) Goals Against. Matching-up these two figures indicated that Home team Manchester United could be expected to score about 2 Goals.
Now, the Away team… Bolton had averaged less than 1 (0.6) Goal For per match. And Manchester United had conceded an average of less that 1 (just 0.3) Goal Against. Matching-up these two figures indicated that Bolton were likely to score somewhat less than 1 Goal – i.e. not score at all.
Summary
Manchester United's For v Bolton's Against figures (2.4 v 1.9) pointed to a total of around 2 Goals for the Home team. Bolton's For v Manchester United's Against figures (0.6 v 0.3) suggested a likely total of 0 Goals for the Away team.
Highlighted bets
- Match Result – Manchester United to win
- Team Not to Score – Bolton
- Goal Handicap/ Asian Handicap – Manchester United (minus 1)
- Correct Score – Manchester United 2-0
(the actual results was: Manchester United 2 Bolton Wanderers 0)
Not all teams' data will match-up as closely as this. But by comparing teams' average Goals performance per match, you will have an instant guide to multiple bets.
Bookmakers will vary Goal Handicaps they offer depending on the teams playing – ranging from 0 (sometimes called 'scratch') up to 3 or even 4.
Remember - a team with a minus Handicap must score at least 1 more than the Handicap to win the bet. So if the Handicap is (-1) the team must win by 2; if the Handicap is (-2) the team must win by 3, and so on.
FBD tip
Look for the margin between the two teams to be at least as 1 Goal bigger than the handicap being offered before considering a bet. For example, if the handicap is (-2) – you need your team to be capable of scoring at least 3 more Goals.
Under/Over 2.5 Goals bets
Even if two teams' stats don't give you an immediate steer to who will actually win the match, there are still betting opportunities to be had from the Under/ Over 2.5 Goals markets.
Let's look at another example from this season:
| Portsmouth | v | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| 73% | Under 2.5 | 56% |
| 27% | Over 2.5 | 44% |
The Under/ Over 2.5 Goals percentage highlights how often teams produce high or low scoring matches.
In this case, 73% (roughly 3 out of 4) of Portsmouth's Home matches produced less than 3 Goals. With 56% of Wigan's Away games also going under 3.
Summary
The Home team will normally dictate how a match develops – unless the Away team is very much stronger. So with Portsmouth showing a strong 3 out of 4 trend and over half of Wigan's Away games going Under 2.5 Goals, it had all the hallmarks of a good bet.
(actual result: 2 Goals in total - Portsmouth 2 Wigan 0)
FBD tip
When matching-up two teams' percentage ratings, look for both teams' totals to add up to at least 120% in the same category (either Under or Over) to highlight a betting opportunity (i.e. 60% v 60%, 54% v 66%, 49% v 71% or any other variation.)
Not all teams will match-up – and there won't always be a betting opportunity. But use the following system to guide you:
- Less than 120% - no bet
- 120%+ - decent bet
- 130%+ - good bet
- 140%+ - outstanding bet
Additional Goal bets to consider
And you needn't stop there… For example, if you get two teams with strong Under 2.5 Goals data (adding up 140%+), this is a good indicator for multiple bets…
- Clean Sheets (i.e. one team Not To Score)
- First Goal After 27 Minutes
- Correct Scores – 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, etc
Likewise, two strong sets of Over 2.5 Goals figures might prompt First Goal Before 27 Minutes, or individual Goal Scorer bets. All of these options will be covered in your pre-match emails.
Corners
Your unique Corners data can be matched-up just like Goals to highlight a series of bets. Again, the figure given are 'averages' to guide you to likely Corner totals per match.
Match-up the Home team's Average For figure v the Away team's Average Against figure for a guide to how many Corners the Home team is likely to get. Then do the same for the Away team.
If we take an example from earlier this season…
| Arsenal | v | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| 11.3 | Average Corners For | 3.4 |
| 3.3 | Average Corners Against | 8.8 |
Firstly, the Home team… Arsenal had averaged between 11 and 12 (11.3) Corners For per match. While Hull had conceded an average of about 9 (8.8) Corners Against. So matching-up this data indicated that Arsenal could be expected to get between 9 and 12 Corners.
Now the Away team… Hull had averaged between 3 and 4 (3.4) Corners For per match. While Arsenal had conceded an average of between 3 and 4 (3.3) Corners Against. This closely matching data suggested Hull could be expected to get around 3 or 4 Corners.
Summary
Arsenal's For v Hull's Against figures (11.3 v 8.8) pointed to a total of around 9 – 12 Corners for the Home team. Hull's For v Arsenal's Against figures (3.4 v 3.3) suggested a likely total of 3 – 4 Corners for the Away team.
Highlighted bets
- Team to get Most Corners – Arsenal
- Corner Handicap – Arsenal up to (-4), or (-5)
- Total Corners – Over 10.5
- First Corner – Arsenal
(actual result: Arsenal 15 Corners, Hull 4 Corners)
FBD tip
First Corner (or First Goal or First Booking) bets have a larger element of risk about them. Bets which play out over the whole game (such as Most Corners, or Handicaps) are more consistent with statistics.
FBD tip: Corner Handicaps
Like Goals, bookmakers will vary Corner Handicaps they offer depending on the teams playing – ranging from 0 (sometimes called 'scratch') up to 5 or even 6.
Remember - a team with a minus Handicap must win at least 1 more Corner than the Handicap to win the bet. So if the Handicap is (-3) the team must win 4 more Corners; if the Handicap is (-4) the team must win 5 more Corners, and so on.
Look for the margin between the two teams to be at least as 1 Corner more than the Handicap being offered, before considering a bet. For example, if the handicap is (-3) – you need the your team to be capable of winning at least 4 more Corners.
Under/Over 10.5 Corners bets
Bookmakers will almost always bet around 10 or 11 Corners. The Under/ Over percentage gives you an instant reference guide to the teams regularly involved in high or low Corner matches.
Let's look at another example from earlier this season…
| Blackburn Rovers | v | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | Under 10.5 | 67% |
| .0% | Over 10.5 | 33% |
Going into this match, 100% of Blackburn's and 67% of Manchester United's had produced 10 or less Corners.
Summary
With Blackburn showing a perfect Under 10.5 trend and over two-thirds of Manchester United's Away games also going under the 10.5 mark, an Under 10.5 Corners bet looked very strong.
(actual result: 7 Corners in total – Blackburn 3, Manchester United 4)
FBD tip
When matching-up two teams' percentage ratings, look for both teams' totals to add up to at least 120% in the same category (either Under or Over) to highlight a betting opportunity (i.e. 60% v 60%, 54% v 66%, 49% v 71% or any other variation.)
Not all teams will match-up – and there won't always be a betting opportunity. But use the following system to guide you:
Less than 120% - no bet
120%+ - decent bet
130%+ - good bet
140%+ - outstanding bet
Additional Corner bets to consider
You might also see X-Corners and Multi-Corners bets offered by Spread Betting companies.
X-Corners bets require you to predict the result of the number of Corners the Home team wins multiplied by the number the Away team wins.
Multi-Corners bets require you to predict the result of the total number of Corners in the first half of a match multiplied by the number of Corners in the second half.
For a full explanation of how these bets work and how to cash-in, go to Football Bets Explained > Spread Betting
Bookings
As with Goals and Corners, your unique Bookings data can be matched-up to highlight multiple betting opportunities.
Note
Most bookmakers use the following Booking Points system:
- 1 Yellow Card = 10 points
- 1 Red Card = 25 points
- 2 Yellow Cards result in an automatic Red and earns 35 points
(so the maximum one player can get is 35 points)
Alternatively, a few (notably Bet365) use a Cards based system:
- 1 Yellow Card = 1 Card
- 1 Red Card = 2 Cards
- 1 Yellow + 1 Red = 3 Cards
(so the maximum one player can get is 3 Cards)
In the explanation below we use Booking Points.
Match-up the Home team's Average For figure v the Away team's Average Against figure for a guide to how many Booking Points you can expect them to receive. Then do the same for the Away team.
Let's look at an example from earlier this season…
| Manchester City | v | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Average Booking Pts For | 6.7 |
| 16.7 | Average Corners Against | 3.3 |
Firstly, the Home team… Going into this match Manchester City hadn't received a single Booking at Home. And Away team Portsmouth's opponents had only been awarded an average of just 3.3 Booking Points (that's roughly one-third of a Yellow Card).
This closely-matched data indicated that Manchester City could be expected to receive no more than 1 Yellow Card, perhaps none at all.
Portsmouth averaged 6.7 Booking Points (less than 1 Yellow Card) per match. While Man City's opponents had averaged 16.7 Booking Points (between 1 and 2 Yellow Cards). Suggesting a total of 1, perhaps 2 Yellow Cards for the Away team.
Summary
Man City's For v Portsmouth's Against data (0.0 v 3.3) pointed to a very low total for Man City (between zero and 1 Yellow Card). Portsmouth's For v Man City's Against data (6.7 v 16.7) indicated up to 2 Yellow Cards for Portsmouth.
Highlighted bets
- Total Booking Points – Under 35
- (or Total Cards – Under 3.5)
- Most Bookings/ Cards - Portsmouth
Actual result: 10 booking points
Man City = 0 (no cards)
Portsmouth = 10 (1 Yellow Card).
(Or, using the cards system: 1 Card – Man City 0, Portsmouth 1)
Under/ Over 35.5 Booking Points bets
Bookmakers will usually bet around 35 or 40 Booking Points (or, 3.5 or 4.0 Cards). The Under/ Over percentage gives you an instant reference guide to the teams regularly involved in matches with high or low Bookings.
If we go back to our Bookings example…
Manchester City |
v | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| 76% | Under 35.5 Booking Points | 83% |
| 24% | Over 35.5 Booking Points | 17% |
Going into this match, 76% (that's 3 out of 4) of Man City's matches and 83% (that's over 4 out of 5) of Portsmouth's had produced 30 Booking Points (or 3 Cards) or less.
Summary
These two sets of well-matched data suggested a clear Under 35 betting opportunity (as we've seen, the match produced just 10 Booking Points/ 1 Card)
FBD tip
When matching-up two teams' percentage ratings, look for both teams' totals to add up to at least 120% in the same category (either Under or Over) to highlight a betting opportunity (i.e. 60% v 60%, 54% v 66%, 49% v 71% or any other variation.)
Not all teams will match-up – and there won't always be a betting opportunity. But use the following system to guide you:
Less than 120% - no bet
120%+ - decent bet
130%+ - good bet
140%+ - outstanding bet
Additional Booking Points bets to consider
You might also see markets on First Booking/ Card and various Spread Betting opportunities available.
Your unique Head-2-Head also provides a percentage rating to guide you to First Booking/ Card bets.
Returning to our Bookings example…
| Manchester City | v | Portsmouth | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | First Booking/ Card | 62% | ||
Matching-up the teams' data showed, Manchester City had received zero Bookings in their Home matches. While Portsmouth had been awarded the First Booking/ Card in 63% of their Away matches, making them the clear choice here.
But not all match-ups will be so clear cut.
If we take another example from this season…
| Chelsea | v | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 29% | First Booking/ Card | 34% |
Here, the two teams' data is similar – with both Chelsea and Liverpool averaging the First Booking/ Card in about a third of there matches (29% v 34%). In this case, 'No bet' is advised.
FBD tip
First Booking/Card bets have a larger element of risk about them – after all, anyone can pick up a Yellow Card at anytime. Bets which play out over the whole game (such as Total or Most Booking Points) are more consistent with statistics.
Booking bets also lend themselves to Spread Betting. For a full explanation of how they work and how you can cash-in, go to Football Bets Explained > Spread Betting
Goal Scorers
Before attempting to tackle the First Scorer or Anytime Scorer markets, check out each team's Top Scorers. Home team's Scorers only include Scorers in Home matches, and Away team Scorers only relate to Goals scored in Away matches (the number of Goals is included in brackets).
FBD tip
Realistically, any player can score at anytime, making individual Goal Scorer bets difficult to land consistently. First Scorer bets in particular have an element of lottery about them - reflected in the long odds you will be offered. Anytime scorer bets are more reliable, but should be staked sensibly.

Team Data 


