There are 10 more Premier League games this weekend, and I've got
our top 5 'Football Betting Data' (FBD) bets for you today -
including a look at 2 of the live games...

Fulham take on moneybags Man City live on Sky Sports on Saturday
lunchtime, then reigning Premier League champs Man Utd face
Sunderland in the 5.30pm kick off on Setanta. That'll be
Sunderland's first game since manager Roy Keane walked out on
Thursday.

Here are our bets for the weekend...

Fulham v Man City

Sat 6th Dec, 12.45pm live on Sky Sports
Ref: R.Styles

Match Result

No team in the Premier League has won more home games than Fulham
this season - Man Utd, Liverpool, Stoke and Fulham all have 5 home
wins to their name.

In fact, since the start of October, only reigning Champions Man
Utd have won more points at home than Fulham. (Man Utd 4 wins out
of 4 = 12 pts, Fulham 3 wins and 1 draw = 10 pts.)

Fulham have won their last 3 games in a row at Craven Cottage...

• Fulham 2 Wigan 0
  
• Fulham 2 Newcastle 1
  
• Fulham 2 Tottenham 1

And their recent form overall has been good - Fulham have only been
beaten once in their last 8 Premier League games, home and away.
They are unbeaten in their last 4 - and that includes 0-0 draws
away to current league leaders Liverpool and 5th-placed Aston
Villa.

Man City have lost 4 of their 7 away games so far - and conceded 14
goals. Only Blackburn have conceded more away goals than City in
the Premier League (16).

City have only won once on the road this season, and that was back
in September (v Sunderland). Here are their 3 most recent away
results:

• Middlesbrough 2 Man City 0
  
• Bolton 2 Man City 0
  
• Hull 2 Man City 2

Also, Man City come into this game having played in the UEFA Cup on
Wednesday night, the league last Sunday and away in the UEFA Cup
last Thursday. In contrast, Fulham have only had to play once in
the same time period.

Fulham are 13/8 (2.63) to beat Man City, but backing them on the '0
Asian Handicap' @ 1.90+ is the safer option - you'll get your money
back if it's a draw.

Alternatively, you can back Fulham in the 'Draw No Bet' market -
it's the same bet as a '0 Asian Handicap', just with a different
name. Click here for the best 'Draw No Bet' odds:

http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/

Blackburn Rovers v Liverpool

Sat 6th Dec, 3pm
Ref: A.Marriner

The Goals stats look to match-up well for this game...

Goals

Blackburn have got a 71% strike rate for 'Under 2.5 Goals' games at
Ewood Park so far this season - and Liverpool have the same stat
for their away games:

• 5 out of 7 Blackburn games have gone 'Under 2.5 Goals'

• 5 out of 7 Liverpool away games have gone 'Under 2.5 Goals'

Last season 63% of Blackburn's home games and 57% of Liverpool's
away games saw 2 or less goals scored.

Also, Blackburn have a good 'low goals' record against the Premier
League's 'big Four' sides. All 4 of Blackburn's games against Man
Utd, Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool went 'Under 2.5 Goals' at Ewood
Park last season.

The recent history of this fixture also suggests a tight score-line
this weekend...

Last 3 Blackburn v Liverpool games - only 2 goals scored in total:

2007/8 - Blackburn 0 Liverpool 0
2006/7 - Blackburn 1 Liverpool 0
2005/6 - Blackburn 0 Liverpool 1

It's also worth noting that Liverpool will be without star striker
Fernando Torres for this game.

West Bromwich Albion v Portsmouth

Sun 7th Dec, 3pm
Ref: M.Riley

The stats point to 2 'Over' bets here...

Goals

Over half of all West Brom and Portsmouth's Premier League games
have gone 'Over 2.5 Goals' so far this season. West Brom have a 66%
strike rate (10 out of 15 games) and Portsmouth have a 60% record
(9 out of 15 games).

• 6 out of 7 West Brom home games have been 'Over 2.5 Goals'
  this season - that's 85%

• Over half of Portsmouth's away games have gone 'Over 2.5 Goals' -
  4 from 7 (57%)

Along with Hull, West Brom have conceded the most goals at home in
the Premier League - 14 'Goals Against' in 7 games at The
Hawthorns.

The goals have been going in recently too, with 7 of West Brom's
last 8 games seeing at least 3 goals scored. Portsmouth's last 3
games in all competitions have seen at least 4 goals scored.

Corners

West Brom have the highest 'Over 10.5 Corners' record in the
Premier League so far this season - 80% of their games have had 11
or more corners in them. That's 12 out of 15 games.

Portsmouth look to match-up well - 71% of their away games have
gone 'Over 10.5 Corners'.

• 6 out of 7 West Brom home games have had 11 or more corners
  this season

• 5 out of 7 Portsmouth away games have had 11 or more corners

West Brom home games are averaging a total of 13.4 corners this
season - Portsmouth away games are averaging 11.3.

Portsmouth played 6 games (in all competitions) in November - and
all 6 of them had 11 or more corners. Plus, 4 of West Brom's last 5
games at The Hawthorns have had 11 or more corners.

This game isn't live on TV, but you will be able to place Corners
bets with Bet365 and Coral.

Also available - 'Over 12 Corners' is 6/5 (2.20) with Coral. They
also offer 2/1 (3.00) for '10-12 Corners'. To find the Corners bets
on Coral's website, click on 'Match Specials' from the 'More bets'
menu for the West Brom v Portsmouth game.

Manchester United v Sunderland

Sat 6th Dec, 5.30pm live on Setanta Sports
Ref: M.Halsey

Man Utd and Sunderland look a good match-up in one of the Corners
markets...

Corners

No team has visited Old Trafford and won more corners than Man Utd
this season - and Sunderland haven't won the most corners in any of
their away games.

• Man Utd have got the most corners in 5 out of 6 home games so
  far (83%) - and the other game was a corners 'tie'

• Sunderland have been 'out-cornered' in 6 out of 7 away games
  (85%) - and the other game was a 'tie'

Man Utd averaged over 6 corners more than their opponent per game
last season.

Corners averages - 2007/8 so far:

Man Utd - HOME

Corners For = 8.8
Corners Against = 2.2

Sunderland - AWAY

Corners For = 4.9
Corners Against = 7.6

These stats are backed up by last season's figures. In 2007/8, Man
Utd won the most corners in 15 of their 19 games at Old Trafford -
a high 79% strike rate. Sunderland got the most corners in 36% of
their away games.

Corners averages - 2008/9:

Man Utd - HOME

Corners For = 6.9
Corners Against = 3.1
 
Sunderland - AWAY

Corners For = 3.8
Corners Against = 5.3

For this game, the best handicap you'll probably find at the
bookies will be a '-4 Corner Handicap' for Man Utd. That handicap
would be pretty big for most teams - but Man Utd have beaten it in
half their home games so far.

When Man Utd played Sunderland last season they beat them 1-0 - and
won the corners match 6-0.

Also available - Man Utd '-4.5 Asian Handicap Corners' @ 4/5 (1.80) with Bet365 is the same bet as the '-4 Corner Handicap' above. Click here for the best odds:

http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/

Good luck with all your Premier League bets this weekend. I'll
write to you again on Monday with the low-down on all the weekend's
action, and a look at the stats for the live game between West Ham
and Tottenham...

Best wishes,

Matt Nesbitt

Football Betting Data

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