In your bonus Football Betting Data email today:
- A near miss on Boxing Day…
- 4 bets for this week…
We had a ‘near miss’ on Boxing Day - just 1 minute and 1 corner
kick away from a clean sweep of winners in the Aston Villa v Arsenal
game…
Boxing Day results - Aston Villa 2 Arsenal 2
Booking Points = Villa 40, Arsenal 40
Corners = Villa 7, Arsenal 6
FBD said:
Arsenal to get the ‘Most Booking Points’ @ 11/10 – LOST
Or
Arsenal to get the ‘First Card’ @ 4/5 – WON
Arsenal led the Bookings count until the very last minute, when
Gareth Barry was shown a yellow card for Villa. Arsenal’s Alex Song
had picked up the ‘First Card’ of the game in the 25th minute.
FBD said:
Arsenal ‘+1 Corner Handicap’ @ Evens, with a saver bet on the
‘Handicap Tie' @ 13/2 – (saver bet won)
Villa got exactly 1 corner more than Arsenal, meaning our ‘saver
bet’ on the handicap tie won.
You’ll be slightly down if you backed the ‘Most Bookings’ bet on
Boxing Day – and slightly in profit it you backed the ‘First Card.’
This week’s bets…
As a special 'Christmas bonus' for you, here are our top bets for this week's games - starting on Sunday…
Fulham v Chelsea
Sun 28th Dec, 2pm
Ref: A.Marriner
This may be ‘London derby,’ but the stats for both teams point to a
‘low’ Bookings game here…
Cards and Booking Points
Fulham are having an impressive ‘low’ Bookings season – 16 of
their 18 Premier League games have had 3 or less yellow cards (30
or less Booking Points).
That’s an 89% strike rate for bets on ‘Under 3.5 Cards.’ Including
Fulham’s last 7 games in a row.
At home, Fulham have a ‘7 out of 9’ record for ‘Under 3.5 Cards’
games.
Chelsea also have strong ‘low’ Bookings stats this season. Overall,
16 of their 19 Premier League games have gone ‘Under 3.5 Cards.’
That includes 8 out of 9 away games – 89%.
Fulham and Chelsea’s stats match-up well for another ‘low’ game on
Sunday. And it’s also worth noting that in the 2 games between
Fulham and Chelsea last season, the tallies were 1 yellow (10 points)
at Craven Cottage and 2 yellows (20 points) at Stamford Bridge.
You can bet ‘Under 3.5 Cards’ at Bet365. Check with Coral for
‘Booking Points’ markets too.
Bet365 count a yellow card as ‘1 Card’ and a red card as ‘2 Cards’. Bet Now! |
Bolton Wanderers v Wigan Athletic
Sun 28th Dec, 2pm
Ref: P.Dowd
Stopwatches at the ready – the stats highlight a ‘Time of First Goal’
bet for this game…
Time of First Goal
There were 2 goals in the first 3 minutes in Bolton’s last home game
(v Portsmouth last weekend) – and that was just the latest in a
string of ‘early goals’ in Bolton games…
In 5 of the 7 games in which goals have been scored at the Reebok
Stadium, it’s come before the 29th minute.
And the first goal has been scored ‘Before or During the 28th Minute’
in Bolton’s last 7 Premier League games in a row.
In 5 of the 7 Wigan away games where a goal has been scored, it’s
come before the 29-minute mark. (And away at Liverpool, there
was just 1 minute more to wait.)
The first goal has been scored in the 16th and the 3rd minute in
Wigan’s last 2 away games.
Several bookies offer ‘Before’ and ‘After’ bets on the ‘Time of First
Goal.’ You can get 11/10 with Coral for ‘Before or During 28 Mins’
for this game.
Bet Now! |
West Brom v Tottenham
Sun 28th Dec, 2pm
Ref: S.Tanner
The facts and figures point to a Corners bet here…
Corners
West Brom have a strong set of ‘high’ Corners stats this season.
Out of 19 Premier League games, 14 have them have been ‘Over 11
Corners.’ That’s a 74% strike rate for ‘Over 11 Corners’ bets on
West Brom games.
At home, 6 out of 9 West Brom games have gone ‘Over 11 Corners’
(and 1 has been ‘Exactly 11’).
Games at The Hawthorns are averaging ‘12.6’ Corners so far this
season.
Tottenham are a decent match-up, with over half their games going
‘Over 11 Corners’ so far. Spurs have got a ‘10 out of 19’ record for
‘Over 11 Corners’ overall, and a ‘5 out of 9’ record from their away
games.
There have been more than 11 corners in Tottenham’s last 3 away
games in a row.
This game isn’t live on TV, but you can bet ‘Over 11.5 Corners’ with
Bet365 and Partybets (while Coral offer 5/4 for ‘Over 12 Corners’).
Bet Now! |
And finally – a bet for the live Tuesday night game on Sky Sports…
Hull City v Aston Villa
Tue 30th Dec, 8pm
Live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: S.Bennett
The formbook points to a bet on the away team here…
Match Result
Hull are 7th in the league table and Aston Villa are 4th. But the
Premier League’s ‘Form Guide’ – that takes into account the last 6
games – places Hull down in 15th and Villa 3rd.
In fact, Hull have only won 1 of their last 10 games. They’ve got a
‘Won 3, Drawn 2 and Lost 4’ record at home this season.
Teams have been scoring freely against Hull recently – they were
beaten 4-1 at home by Sunderland last week, and were hammered
5-1 away at Man City on Boxing Day.
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 7 games. Only Chelsea and
Everton have won more away games than them this season. Villa’s
away record in ‘Won 6, Drawn 0 and Lost 3’ – and they’ve won 4 of
their last 5 away games…
Wigan 0 Aston Villa 4
Newcastle 2 Aston Villa 0
Arsenal 0 Aston Villa 2
Everton 2 Aston Villa 3
West Ham 0 Aston Villa 1
Hull have scored 6 goals and conceded 12 in December – winning
once, drawing once and losing twice. Villa have scored 10 goals and
conceded 6 in December – drawing once and winning 3.
Back the ‘away win’ at 11/10.
Bet Now! |
Good luck with all your Premier League bets this week...
Happy New Year!
Matt Nesbitt
Football Betting Data
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