The Premier League is back with a full round of games tonight and
tomorrow...
I've got the 3 best bets for tonight's games for you below,
including one for the live game between Portsmouth and Aston Villa
(live on Sky Sports 2 at 8pm).
Plus - our new Football Betting Data website is now up and running!
You can get an at-a-glance guide to the best bets in every game
using the Head-2-Head bet selector...
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Here are your bets for tonight...
Portsmouth v Aston Villa
Tue 27th Jan, 8pm
Live on Sky Sports 2
Ref: P.Walton
League positions: Portsmouth 12th - Aston Villa 4th
Match odds: Portsmouth 9/4 - Draw 12/5 - Aston Villa 13/10
No team in the Premier League has won more away games than Aston
Villa this season - and only Chelsea have accumulated more points
from their away games. Let's take a look at the recent form...
Match Result
Portsmouth's home record is: 'Won 4, Drawn 2 and Lost 4.'
Villa's away record is: 'Won 8, Drawn 0 and lost 3.'
| * KEY DATA The league table shows Villa are 8 places above Portsmouth. But the Premier League's 'Form Guide' - that takes into account the last 6 games - makes the gap between the two much bigger. It places Portsmouth down in 17th and Villa right up in 2nd. |
Portsmouth have lost their last 2 home games...
Portsmouth 0 Newcastle 3
Portsmouth 1 West Ham 4
They have only won one game in all competitions in 2009 so far -
and that was against Championship side Bristol City in the FA Cup.
Aston Villa have won their last 5 away games in a row...
Arsenal 0 Aston Villa 2
Everton 2 Aston Villa 3
West Ham 0 Aston Villa 1
Hull 0 Aston Villa 1
Sunderland 1 Aston Villa 2
Villa are unbeaten in all competitions in 2009 so far - and are
unbeaten in their last 10 Premier League games.
Aston Villa are available at 13/10 (2.30) to win tonight. The safer
option is Aston Villa 'Draw No Bet' at 4/6 (1.67) - that pays out
if Villa win, and gives you your money back if the game is drawn.
|
FBD says:
Bet Now! http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/ |
Tottenham v Stoke
Tue 27th Jan, 8pm
Ref: M.Riley
League positions: Tottenham 16th - Stoke 19th
Match odds: Tottenham 8/13 - Draw 13/5 - Stoke 5/1
The bookies make Tottenham the odds-on favourites to beat Stoke -
but both teams are level on points in the league table...
Match Result
The bottom 5 teams in the Premier League are all on 21 pts - and
that includes Tottenham and Stoke.
Tottenham's home record is: 'Won 3, Drawn 3 and Lost 4.'
Stoke's away record is: 'Won 0, Drawn 3 and Lost 8.'
Tottenham have only won 2 of their last 10 Premier League games
overall, and haven't won at home since November. Stoke are yet to
win an away game.
The 'Asian Handicap' market looks to hold the best bet for this
game. Stoke can be backed with a '1 goal' head start, on the '+1
Asian Handicap.'
When you look at both teams' results this season, that bet would
have landed you plenty of winners...
Backing Tottenham's opponents at White Hart Lane with a '+1 Asian
Handicap':
- 8 winners and 2 void / 'get your money back' bets
- 1 loser
Backing Tottenham's opponents with a '+1 Asian Handicap' in every
Premier League game this season:
- 17 winners and 3 void / 'get your money back' bets
- 2 losers
| * KEY DATA Out of 22 games this season, you'd have only lost your money twice by backing Tottenham's opponent with a '+1 Asian Handicap.' |
Looking at Stoke's results, that same bet would have won in 50% of
all their games, and only lost you money in 5 out of 22 games.
It's also worth noting that Tottenham have only scored 2 goals in
their last 5 home games, and that their Home 'Goals' stats averages
come out level, at 0.7 For and 0.7 Against (see our new website for
the full data).
- Stoke beat Tottenham 2-1 when they played at the Britannia
Stadium earlier this season
The Stoke '+1 Asian Handicap' covers several outcomes. That bet
wins if Stoke win or draw the game, and gives you your money back
if they lose by 1 goal (eg. 1-0, 2-1, 3-2 etc).
You'll only lose money if Tottenham win by 2 goals or more -
something they've only done twice in 22 games so far.
|
FBD says:
Bet Now! http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/ |
Asian Handicap bets explained...
You'll find a full explanation of how Asian Handicap bets work in
the 'Match Results' section of the 'Betting Guide' on our new
website:
West Brom v Man Utd
Tue 27th Jan, 7.45pm
Ref: R.Styles
League positions: West Brom 20th - Man Utd 1st
Match odds: West Brom 9/1 - Draw 7/2 - Man Utd 4/11
This is a 'bottom v top' clash - Premier League leaders Man Utd
travel to bottom club West Brom. Man Utd are the clear favourites
to win tonight, but there doesn't look to be much value in the
Match Result markets.
It's the Corners stats that highlight the best bet for this game...
Corners
West Brom and Man Utd look a good match-up for an 'Over' bet on the
'Total Corners.' Here's some of the key data for both teams from
our Football Betting Data website:
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72.7% West Brom home games 'Over 10.5 Corners'
-
63.6% Man Utd away games 'Over 10.5 Corners'
West Brom have played 11 home games so far this season, and 8 of
them have had 11 or more corners in them.
| * KEY DATA 17 out of West Brom's 22 Premier League games overall, home and away, have been 'Over 10.5 Corners.' That's a 77% strike rate for bets on 'Over 10.5 Corners' in West Brom games this season. |
Look at the 'For' and 'Against' Corners stats for West Brom at home
and Man Utd away on our website, and you'll see that both teams'
games average over 11 corners in total.
-
When Man Utd and West Brom played at Old Trafford earlier
this season, there were 17 corners in the game -
4 of West Brom's last 5 games have gone 'Over 11 Corners'
For tonight's game, online bookmaker www.Expekt.com offer
'Over 10.5 Corners' at 4/7 (1.57). That bet wins if there are 11 or
more corners in the game.
Several other major bookies offer 'Over 11 Corners' at bigger
odds...
You can bet 'Over 11' with Stan James and Betdirect at 5/6 (1.83)
and 'Over 11.5' with Bet365 and Partybets, at around 4/5 (1.80) or
bigger. Those bets win if there are 12 or more corners in the game.
|
FBD says:
Bet Now! http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/ |
I'll write to you again tomorrow with our latest results and the
best bets for Wednesday night's games...
Good luck!
Matt Nesbitt
Football Betting Data
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