In your Football Betting Data bulletin today:

• Wednesday's results
• The 6 best bets for the upcoming weekend...

We were one goal away from a double on Wednesday...

West Ham 2 Hull 0
Over 2.5 Goals @ 10/11 - LOST
Hull failed to score in an away game for only the 2nd time this
season - and West Ham registered just their 2nd home Clean Sheet.

Wigan 1 Liverpool 1
First Goal to be After the 27th minute @ 10/11 - WON
Liverpool took the lead in the 41st minute, comfortably landing our
bet.

This leaves our record at a profitable: Won 9 Lost 4 for the month.
Now let's see if we can boost those profits this weekend. First
stop the Saturday lunchtime kick-off at the Britannia Stadium...

Stoke v Man City
Saturday 31st Jan, 12.45pm
Live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: M. Atkinson

Match Odds: Stoke City 9/4    Draw  9/4   Man City  6/5

The standout bet in this match is in the Time of First Goal market.
3 of Stoke's last 5 matches have featured a Goal After the 27th
minute - 83, 45 and 84 mins - and the other two ended 0-0. 3 out
of Man City's last 5 away matches also saw the First Goal come
After the 27th minute.

Here are both team's season averages...

Stoke City - Home average:    First Goal 47 mins
Man City - Away average:      First Goal 39 mins

Man Utd v Everton
Saturday 31st Jan, 5.30pm.
Live on Setanta
Ref: M. Halsey

Match odds: Man United 2/5    Draw   7/2   Everton   8/1

Current leaders United are looking for their 12th Clean Sheet in a
row - available @ 4/5, with Win to Nil @ 11/10. But perhaps better
value is Time of First Goal. 

4 of Man United's last 5 home matches have seen a First Goal After
the 27th Minute - 83, 45, 69, 90 and 3 mins. And all 5 of Everton's
last 5 away matches have seen late opening goals - 68, 51, 90, 51
and 51 mins.

Here are both team's season averages...

Man United - Home average: First Goal 37 mins
Everton - Away average: First Goal 54 mins

There is also a bet in the Bookings market.

Both teams' Bookings/ Cards figures match up well for a 'low'
total...

• 80% of Man Utd home games have gone 'Under 3.5 Cards' (8 out of
  10)
• 63.6% of Everton away games have gone 'Under 3.5 Cards' (7 out of
  11)

4 out of Man Utd's last 5 home games have paid out on 'Under 3.5
Cards'. And 3 of Everton's last 5 away games have also gone
'Under'.

Bet365 are offering 1/2 on this market.

So you might want to also note that Everton have got the First Card
in 72.7% of their away games (8 out of 11 games) - available at 4/6
@ Blue Square, 8/13 @ Paddy Power.

Arsenal v West Ham
Saturday 31st Jan, 3pm.
Ref: S. Bennett

Match odds: Arsenal 1/2   Draw   16/5    West Ham   6/1

There looks to be a great opportunity in the Corners Handicap
market...

Arsenal corners last 5 home games (first to last):

F     A
5     0     v Bolton
11    2     v Portsmouth
2     2     v Liverpool
8     3     v Wigan
8     5     v Aston Villa

Arsenal won Most Corners in 4 of last 5 home games, and covered a
'-3 Corner Handicap' in 3 of them (1 a 'tie').

West Ham corners last 5 away games:

F     A
3     8     v Newcastle
5     9     v Portsmouth
4     9     v Chelsea
5     17    v Liverpool
2     4     v Sunderland

West Ham's opponent has won the Most Corners in 5 of their last 5
away games - with the home team covering a '-3 Corner Handicap' 4
times.

Liverpool v Chelsea
Sunday 1st Feb, 4pm.
Live on Sky Sports 1.
Ref: M. Riley

Match odds:  Liverpool   6/4   Draw   9/4   Chelsea   21/10

Liverpool host Chelsea on Sunday, with both teams neck and neck in
their pursuit of leaders Manchester United.

Very tricky to pick a winner, but a couple of standout bets.

Goals

There's a history of low-scoring games between these two 'Big Four'
rivals in the Premier League. Only 2 of the last 11 meetings have
gone Over 2.5 Goals.

Chelsea and Liverpool have also played each other 8 times in the 
Champions League in the last 4 seasons. Every one of those games
was also 'Under 2.5 Goals'.

Bookmakers are only offering 8/15 for Under 2.5 Goals - not great
value. But there looks to be a bit of value to be had in the
Booking markets...

Total Bookings

• So far this season, 63.6% (7 out of 11) of Liverpool's matches
  have averaged 'Under 35 Booking Points'. And a huge 81.8% (9 out of
  11) of Chelsea's have gone 'Under 35 Booking Points'.

Yet, Blue Square and 888sport are offering 13/10 on Under 50
Booking Points, with Evens available at Paddy Power.

First Booking

• Liverpool have averaged just 10 Booking Points per match in
  their last 5 home games. Chelsea have averaged 28 per match in
  their last 5 away.

Ladbrokes offer 5/6 that Chelsea will get the Most Bookings.

A bumper issue with 6 bets already this week. And there's more...

The Head-2-Head Bet Selector has thrown up three more fixtures that
match-up well for 'Under 3.5 Booking Points' bets...

Hull v West Brom

• This season 72.7% of Hull's home matches have produced 'Under
  3.5 Cards'. And 81.8% of West Brom's away matches have gone 'Under
  3.5 Cards'.
• 3 of last 5 Hull home games have gone 'Under 3.5 Cards' and 5
  out of last 5 West Brom away games have gone 'Under 3.5 Cards'.
• Plus, the Referee is P. Walton - and 11 out of his 14 matches
  this season have been 'Under 3.5 Cards' (78%).

Fulham v Portsmouth

• This season 80% of Fulham's home matches have produced 'Under
  3.5 Cards'. And 90.9% of Portsmouth's away matches have gone 'Under
  3.5 Cards'.
• 4 of last 5 Fulham home matches have gone 'Under 3.5 Cards'
  and 5 of last 5 Portsmouth away matches have gone 'Under 3.5
  Cards'.
• The Referee is A.Wiley - and 12 out of his 16 matches this
  season have been 'Under 3.5 Cards' (75%),

Aston Villa v Wigan

• This season 72.7% of Aston Villa's home matches have produced
  'Under 3.5 Cards'. And 63.6% of Wigan's away matches have gone
  'Under 3.5 Cards'.
• 4 of last 5 Aston Villa home matches have gone 'Under 3.5
  Cards' and 2 of last 5 Wigan's away matches have gone 'Under 3.5
  Cards'.

Bet365 is offering the following prices...

Hull v West Brom      @ 4/5
Fulham v Portsmouth @ 1/2
Aston Villa v Wigan   @ 8/11

Good luck with these.

Don't forget, you can use the Head-2-Head Bet Selector to highlight
dozens more betting opportunities just like these!

www.FootballBettingData.co.uk Your password: *******

And from the site you can link directly to the Match Day Scoreboard
where you can track all your bets - live!

I'll be back in touch on Monday with a full results round-up.

Until then,

Matt Nesbitt

Football Betting Data

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