The Premier League is back with a bang this week – with games on Wednesday, Saturday, Sunday and Monday! The bookies are offering up dozens of markets on every fixture, and here at Football Betting Data we’ll highlight the best bets on all of them…
Wednesday night’s game is Man Utd v Fulham. If Man Utd win this ‘game in hand,’ they’ll go 5 points clear at the top of the league…
Man Utd v Fulham
Wed 18th Feb, 8pm
|
|
Pos: |
Pld |
W |
D |
L |
Pts |
|
Man Utd |
1st |
24 |
17 |
5 |
2 |
56 |
|
Fulham |
10th |
23 |
7 |
9 |
7 |
30 |
As we mentioned in Friday’s email, Man Utd have just recorded a record-breaking 13-game run without conceding a goal – and Fulham have the lowest away goals figures in the Premier League.
Our ‘FBD says…’ bet on Friday was Man Utd v Fulham to be ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ @ 9/10 (1.90) with Bet365. That price is still available – and you can also get 10/11 (1.91) with Skybet. Most other bookies are going around 5/6 (1.83).
You’ll find the latest odds on this bet here:
Now that the bookies have more markets up, let’s take a look at this game in more detail…
Match Result
Man Utd have won 10 and drawn one of their 11 home games so far – the best home record in the Premier League. Fulham haven’t won away all season, and have scored less ‘away goals’ than anyone else – just 3 goals scored in 12 away games.
During their current run of 13 consecutive 'Clean Sheets,' Man Utd have won 11 games 'To Nil'…
In total, they’ve won 17 games in the Premier League this season – and 16 of those wins were achieved without conceding a goal. That means an amazing 94% of all Man Utd’s wins have paid out on the bookies’ ‘To Win To Nil’ market.
Fulham have lost 6 away games, and in 4 of those games they were beaten ‘To Nil.’
Let’s take a look at some of the odds on offer for Wednesday’s game…
- Man Utd to win – best price 2/7 (1.28) at Bet365
- Man Utd to keep a ‘Clean Sheet’ – best price 4/6 (1.67) at Skybet
- Man Utd ‘To Win To Nil’ – best price 10/11 (1.91) at Skybet
|
KEY DATA: |
The bet that stands out here is Man Utd ‘Win To Nil.’ Considering they are the clear favourites to win the game and have such an outstanding defensive record, 10/11 looks decent value. Paddy Power offer just 4/7 (1.57) for that same bet.
FBD says:
Bet Now! |
We’ve looked at the ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ and Man Utd ‘To Win To Nil’ data for this game – so it makes sense to look at the bigger-priced ‘Correct Score’ options that tick both those boxes, too…
- Man Utd to win ‘1-0’ – best price 13/2 (7.50) at Betfred, and 6/1 (7.0) in general
- Man Utd to win ‘2-0’ – best price 11/2 (6.50) at Betfred and William Hill
During their 13-game run of ‘Clean Sheets,’ Man Utd have won 8 games by a 1-0 ‘Correct Score.’
Fulham have lost 6 away games – and 4 of those were by a 1-0 score-line.
|
KEY DATA: |
Another top trend for Man Utd v Fulham…
Check out this other standout stat from Man Utd's recent run of 13 games without conceding a goal.
- 9 of last 13 games 'Under 35.5 Booking Points' or 'Under 3.5
Cards'…
That recent trend is backed up by BOTH teams’ Booking Points data, as you’ll see on the Head-2-Head page on our website.
In fact, the Booking Points data gives us the highest match-up in any category on this game. These ‘low Bookings’ stats are outstanding - you’d struggle to find a Premier League game better rated for an ‘Under 35.5 Pts’ or ‘Under 3.5 Cards’ bet...
- Man Utd - 81.8% of home games ‘Under 35.5 Booking Points’
- Fulham - 91.7% of away games ‘Under 35.5 Booking Points’
And here are both teams’ averages per game:
Man Utd – Home
For = 10.0 pts
Against = 16.4 pts
Total = 26.4 pts
Fulham – Away
For = 8.3 pts
Against = 8.3 pts
Total =16.6 pts
Finding your bets…
If this game was live on TV the bookies would give us plenty of ‘Under’ options in the ‘Total Cards’ and ‘Booking Points’ markets. However, even though this one isn’t on the box, you should check with the following bookies before kick off on Wednesday evening…
- Check with: Bet365, Coral, Partybets, Stan James and Betfair
You can go direct to the best odds on all bets for this game – including the ‘Correct Score’ and any ‘Total Cards’ and ‘Booking Points’ markets – from here…
I’ll write to you again on Friday with our bets for the weekend.
Good luck!
Matt Nesbitt
Football Betting Data
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