In your Football Betting Data weekend preview today:

• Wednesday night's winners...
• Your best bets for the weekend...

The Wednesday night game at Old Trafford gave us another winner...

Man Utd kept their 14th 'clean sheet' in a row, beating Fulham 3-0.
We had bets on Man Utd 'To Win To Nil' at 10/11 (won) and 'Under
2.5 Goals' at 9/10 (lost) - Wayne Rooney's second-half goal
prevented us from landing both bets.

The stats also pinpointed that game as a great 'low cards and
bookings' match-up. And so it proved, with just 2 yellows cards
shown by the Referee, Andre Marriner.

This week's bets...

Onto this weekend's games now - and there are 2 more 'low cards and
bookings' match-ups that standout for a bet...

Aston Villa v Chelsea

Sat 21st Feb, 12.45pm
Live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: M.Halsey
  
Cards and Booking Points

Both these teams have got strong 'low cards and bookings' records
this season...

• 9 out of 12 Villa home games have gone 'Under 35 Booking
  Points' - a 75% strike rate
• 75% of Chelsea away games have also gone 'Under 35 Booking
  Points'

And the recent form also matches up well for an 'Under' bet, with 4
of the last 5 games at Villa Park paying out a winner on 'Under 35
Points' or 'Under 3.5 Cards' bets. Those bets would have paid in 3
of Chelsea's last 5 away games.

• When Chelsea played Villa at Stamford Bridge earlier this
  season, there were 3 yellow cards in the game (30 points)

Two teams with 75% 'Under' averages make a good match-up. But the
referee's 'Under' record is even more impressive here...

Mark Halsey has shown just 17 yellow cards and 2 reds in 15 Premier
League games this season - the lowest record of any Premier League
referee.

In 14 of those 15 games, the total Booking Points have been below
35 points. That's an amazing 93% strike rate for bets on 'Under
35.5 Booking Points' or 'Under 3.5 Cards' in games where Halsey has
been the ref.

Also available...

'Under 30 Points' is 11/10 (2.10) and '30 Points' is 7/2 (4.50) at
Blue Square and 888 Sport. By placing around 70% of your stake on
'Under 30' and the other 30% on '30 Points,' you'll make a profit
is there are 30 or less Booking Points in the game.

You can also do the same at Paddy Power. They offer 'Up To and
Including 20 Points' at Evens (2.00) and '25 to 30 Points
Inclusive' at 7/2.

Also check with Stan James, Victor Chandler, Paddy Power, Skybet,
William Hill and Betfair for 'Booking Points' markets. And at
Bet365 you can bet on 'Total Cards.'

The recent form of both teams also highlights a bet in the Aston
Villa v Chelsea 'Match Result' market...

Match Result

It looks like the bookies expect stand-in Chelsea manager Guus
Hiddink to work his magic from day one here. However, Villa have
gone 13 games in a row without defeat...

And Chelsea haven't won an away game since they beat Bolton 2-0 on
6th December.

The draw is actually the biggest-priced outcome in the Match Result
market here, at a standout 12/5 with Skybet and Boylesports. That
looks a good price considering Villa's home record and Chelsea's
recent results.

Arsenal v Sunderland

Sat 21st Feb, 3pm
Ref: A.Wiley

Corners

Arsenal are a very strong corner winner at home - and it looks like
the bookies are giving us a decent 'Corner Handicap' bet here...

• Arsenal have won the most corners in 83% of games at the
  Emirates Stadium - that's 10 out of 12 games
• Sunderland have only won the most corners in one of their 12
  away games

Sunderland have played 4 games against the Premier League's 'Big
Four' clubs so far - Man Utd, Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal. In
those games, Sunderland have conceded a total of 29 corners and won
just 3...

Sunderland 1 corner Liverpool 8 corners
Sunderland 1 corner Arsenal 7 corners
Chelsea 4 corners Sunderland 0 corners
Man Utd 10 corners Sunderland 1 corner

For Saturday's game, the bookies will let you back Arsenal with a
'-3 Corner Handicap' - a bet that pays out if Arsenal win at least
4 corners more than Sunderland.

In 4 of their last 5 home games, Arsenal have won at least 5
corners more than their opponent...

Arsenal 8 corners Wigan 3 corners
Arsenal 2 corners Liverpool 2 corners
Arsenal 11 corners Portsmouth 2 corners
Arsenal 5 corners Bolton 0 corners
Arsenal 13 corners Sunderland 3 corners

Skybet offer Evens on Arsenal with a '-3 Corner Handicap' - and
that looks a good value bet.

Also available - the same bet but with a different name - Arsenal
'-3.5 Asian Handicap Corners' @ 9/10 (1.90) with Bet365...

http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/

Fulham v West Brom

Sun 22nd Feb, 1.30pm
Live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: M.Atkinson

Cards and Booking Points

Fulham's low bookings data has given us several winning bets
already this year, and there could another one 'on the cards'
here...

• 9 out of 11 Fulham home games have been 'Under 35 Booking
  Points' - a high 81% strike rate
• 9 out of 12 West Brom away games gone 'Under 35 Booking
  Points' - that's 75%

The 'For' and 'Against' averages on our website show both teams'
games are averaging below '35 Points' in total. In fact, they've
both got the same total figures...

Fulham - Home = 25.9 pts per game average.

West Brom - Away = 25.9 pts per game average.

The recent form is excellent, too. ALL of Fulham's last 5 home
games have gone 'Under' - and 4 of the last 5 West Brom away games
have also gone 'Under.'

Plus, the referee fits the bill pretty well. Martin Atkinson has
refereed 16 Premier League games, with 11 of them going 'Under.'
That's a healthy 68% strike rate for 'Under' bets on his games.

Also available...

'Under 30 Points' is 11/8 (2.38) and '30 Points' is 7/2 (4.50) at
Blue Square and 888 Sport. By placing around 70% of your stake on
'Under 30' and the other 30% on '30 Points,' you'll make a profit
is there are 30 or less Booking Points in the game.

You can also do the same at Paddy Power. They offer 'Up To and
Including 25 Points' at 5/4 (2.25) and '30 to 35 Points Inclusive'
at 7/2.

Other top trends to follow this weekend...

The stats have highlighted several good match-ups for up this
weekend. As well as our 4 main bets above, keep an eye out for bets
on these games, too...

Stoke v Portsmouth
Sat 21st Feb, 3pm

First Goal Time

Our Head-2-Head data shows this game as one of the best 'First Goal
Time' match-ups of the weekend. Stoke's home First Goal average
time is 47 minutes and Portsmouth's away First Goal average time is
31 minutes.

In all of Stoke's last 5 games at the Britannia Stadium, the First
Goal has been scored 'After' the 27th minute. And the First Goal
has also come 'After' in 3 of the last 5 Portsmouth away games.

• 'Time Of The First Goal - After 27th Minute' is available at
  Evens (2.00) with Stan James

Man Utd v Blackburn

Sat 21st Feb, 5.30pm
Live on Setanta Sports 1

We cashed-in on Man Utd's 'Clean Sheet' and 'Win To Nil' stats
earlier this week. They've kept 14 'Clean Sheets' in a row now (the
bookies make it just 1/2 for another one this weekend). And 17 of
the 18 games that Man Utd have won have been 'Won To Nil' (they're
4/6 to do that again on Saturday).

The Booking Points data highlights another good bet for this game.
Man Utd average less Booking Points per home game than their
opponents, and Blackburn average 20 points - that's 2 yellow cards
- per away game more than their hosts.

Man Utd have only got the 'Most Booking Points' in 3 of their 12
home games (25%). While Blackburn have got the 'Most Booking
Points' in 9 of their 11 away games - 81%.

Man Utd have only got the 'Most Booking Points' in one of their
last 5 games at Old Trafford. Blackburn have got the 'Most Booking
Points' in 4 of their last 5 away games.

• Blackburn to get the 'Most Booking Points' is available at
  8/11 (1.73) with William Hill

Liverpool v Man City

Sun 22nd Feb, 3pm

On average, Liverpool win over 6 corners more than their opponent
per home game - that's the highest margin in the Premier League.
They've won the most corners in 4 of their last 5 home games. Man
City have only won the most corners once in their last 5 away
games.

Liverpool have won the most corners in 83% of games at Anfield, and
bets on Liverpool with a '-3 Corner Handicap' have paid out a
winner in 80% of those games. Man City have won the most corners in
just 25% of their away games.

• Liverpool '-3 Corner Handicap' is available at Evens (2.00)
  with Skybet

You can find the best odds on any of this weekend's Premier League
games here:

http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/

Good luck with your bets this weekend. I'll write to you again on
Monday with our latest results...

Plus, remember you can get an at-glance guide to the best bets on
any Premier League game at our new website:

www.FootballBettingData.co.uk

Log In with your current Password: ******

Best wishes,

Matt Nesbitt

Football Betting Data

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