The stats have highlighted bets in 3 of the 4 live Premier League
games this weekend. Including a trio of bets in Saturday's early
game at Fratton Park...

This week's bets

We've got everything covered this weekend - from Match Results and
Total Goals to Bookings, Goal Times and Corners. Let's get
started...

Portsmouth v Everton

Sat 21st March, 12.45pm
Live on Sky Sports
Ref: P.Walton

The stats point to 3 bets here...

Match Result

Portsmouth have earned 17 points from games at Fratton Park this
season - a 'Won 5 Drawn 2 Lost 7' home record. While Everton have
racked up an impressive 25 points from their away games - 'Won 7
Drawn 4 and Lost 3'.

·         Portsmouth have lost 4 of their last 5 home games

·         Everton have only lost one away game since November (1-0 at
league leaders Man Utd)

Portsmouth have played a number of the Premier League's top teams at
Fratton Park lately - without much success. Here are their last 5
home results (opponent's current league position in brackets):

This week's opponent - Everton - are 6th in the league. And the
Premier League's recent form guide (last 6 games) places Everton up
in 5th place and Portsmouth down in 18th.

Everton are a best price of 17/10 (2.70) for an away win on Saturday
(Bet365).

But the safer option is Everton on the '0 Asian Handicap' at around
10/11 (1.91+). That bet pays out if Everton win, and gives you your
money back if the game is drawn. Most bookies also give you that
option with the 'Draw No Bet' market.

Now for bet number two...

Time Of First Goal

The 'First Goal Time' stats for this game are some of the highest of
the weekend....

Portsmouth home 'First Goal Time' average = 42 mins.
(Division average is 35 mins.)

Everton away 'First Goal Time' average = 54 mins.
(Division average is 35 mins.)

The bookies offer bets on the 'Time of First Goal' being 'Before' or
'After' the 27th Minute.

The First Goal has been scored 'After the 27th Minute' in
Portsmouth's last 3 games at Fratton Park. In fact, all 3 of those
games were goalless at Half Time, with the 'earliest' goal not
coming until the 62nd minute (v Liverpool).

Everton's last 2 away games have finished 0-0. And in ALL of their
last 8 away games before that, the First Goal didn't come until
'After 27th Minute'. Those are good stats for a 'late goal' bet...

Bets on the First Goal being 'After 27th Minute' have paid out in
64% of Portsmouth's home games this season. And looking at Everton's
record for the entire Premier League season so far, they've played
14 away games and only 2 have had a goal 'Before' the 27th minute.

And last but not least...

Booking Points

Portsmouth and Everton both have good 'low Bookings' stats. As the
data on our website shows, both teams' games are averaging 'Under
35.5 Booking Points' per game.

And so far this season, over half of Portsmouth's home games and
over 70% of Everton's away games have paid out on 'Under 35.5
Booking Points' and 'Under 3.5 Cards' bets...

·         Portsmouth home = 57.1% of games 'Under'

·         Everton away = 71.4% 'of games 'Under'

Those averages are backed up by recent results - 3 of the last 5
games at Fratton Park have paid out on those 'Under' bets. And in
Everton's recent away games, you'd have backed 4 out of 5 winners.

This game is live on TV, so 'Booking Points' bets will be available
with several bookies - including Paddy Power, Betfred, Blue Square,
Stan James, Victor Chandler, William Hill, Boylesports, Skybet,
Expekt and on Betfair. You can also bet on 'Total Cards' with
Bet365.

West Brom v Bolton

Sat 21st March, 3pm
Ref: H.Webb

Goals

This one looks a good 'high Goals' match-up...

The data on our website shows that West Brom home games are
averaging '3.3 goals per game' this season - the joint-highest
figure in the Premier League (level with Hull). And Bolton away
games are averaging 2.9 goals.

If you'd bet on 'Over 2.5 Goals' in all of both teams' games so far,
you'd have landed plenty more winners than losers:

·         78.6% of West Brom home games 'Over 2.5 Goals'.

·         57.1% of Bolton away games 'Over 2.5 Goals'

Looking at both teams' last 10 games, those figures rise to 80% and
60%...

·         8 of the last 10 games at The Hawthorns 'Over 2.5 Goals'.

·         6 of the last 10 Bolton away games 'Over 2.5 Goals'

West Brom's stats lead the way here, with an average of 3.3 total
goals per home game and a 78% 'Over 2.5 Goals' strike rate for the
season - plus their last 4 games at The Hawthorns have ALL had 3 or
more goals in them.

The bookies make this a fifty / fifty bet, offering around Evens
(2.00) for 'Over 2.5 Goals' in this game. Based on the stats, those
odds look decent value.

Newcastle v Arsenal

Sat 21st March, 5.30pm
Live on Setanta Sports
Ref: M.Halsey

Corners

Newcastle have only won the most corners in 4 of their 14 games at
St James' Park this season (just 28%). While Arsenal have won the
most corners in 50% of their away games.

Arsenal are 4th in the Premier League table. When you look at
Newcastle's home record against the other top 6 teams this season,
the corners stats clearly favour the away teams...

Newcastle home games v Top 6 teams this season:

The 'top 6' team would've covered a 'Corner Handicap' as big as '-3'
in all those games...

And the good news is Arsenal can be backed with a smaller '-1.5
Corner Handicap' for this game. To land that bet they would need to
win at least 2 corners more than Newcastle.

Our 'average margin' data shows Newcastle concede an average of 2
corners more than they win - and that Arsenal are almost the
opposite, winning 2 corners more than their opponents per away game:

Newcastle home
Average margin -2.10 corners

Arsenal away
Average margin +1.90 corners

Recent form also suggests Arsenal are the team to back here. They've
won the most corners in their last 6 games in a row in all
competitions. While Newcastle have failed to win the most corners in
3 of their last 5 home games.

Wigan v Hull

Sun 22nd March, 1.30pm
Live on Sky Sports
Ref: A.Marriner

Corners

The 'average margin' data on our website shows that Wigan are
averaging '1.6' corners more than opponents at the JJB Stadium.
While Hull concede a huge '5.3' corners more than they win per away
game.

Wigan have won the most corners in 8 out of 14 home games (57%) so
far. And Hull have been 'out-cornered' in a whopping 85% of away
games (12 out of 14 games).

The recent form backs up those stats. Wigan have won the most
corners in 3 of the last 5 games at the JJB Stadium. While Hull have
been 'out-cornered' in 4 of their last 5 away games - including
their last 4 in a row...

Here are the corners stats for Hull's last 4 away games:

With Hull conceding so many corners, Wigan are the team to back in
the 'Corner Handicap' market...

Remember you can get an at-a-glance bet guide for all this weekend's
Premier League games on the Head-2-Head page at our website...

www.FootballBettingData.co.uk      Password: ******

Good luck!

Matt Nesbitt

Football Betting Data

Find the Best Odds...

Get the best odds on all your bets at our free Odds Comparison site.
Compare Odds for all Sports and Betting markets at:

Get Live Scores and Results for every Premier League match - online

Visit our free Results Service website and get the match stats you need
to settle all your bets for every Premier League match – Goals, Full and
Half Time Scores, Corners, Bookings, Player info, and much more!

www.footballbettingresults.co.uk

Free weekly Sports Betting email from the experts!

Get betting tips, systems, and advice for all sports...
Sign up for your free weekly email from the Sports Betting experts at:

www.sportsxtra.co.uk

Contact: Matt Nesbitt, Managing Editor

Please do not reply to this email directly - it is part of an
automated service and will not be read by a human!

For Customer Services or queries:

Email:FootballBettingData@oxonpress.com

Telephone: 0845 0727 387

We may monitor calls to maintain and improve our service.

We research our recommendations and articles thoroughly, but
disclaim all liability for any inaccuracies or omissions found in
this e-mail. All prices correct at time of sending to subscribers.

Copyright © Oxfordshire Press, 2009.