The Premier League is back! After a week off for the World Cup
Qualifiers, the action returns with a full set of games this
weekend...

You can view all 10 games - and get an at-a-glance guide to the best
stats bets - on the Head-2-Head page at the FBD website:

www.FootballBettingData.co.uk

Log In with your Password: *******

We've got bets in 5 games for you today, and there are some decent
prices on offer, including 2/1 and 7/1 shots...

Blackburn v Tottenham

Sat 4th April, 12.45pm
Live on Sky Sports
Ref: P.Walton

There looks to be a good value bet on offer here...

Booking Points

Blackburn and Tottenham are evenly matched on the Booking Points
and First Card stats. But as the home team, Blackburn's stats are
more significant - and we can get better odds on them. For example,
both teams have a First Card average of 60%. However, that 'home'
figure for Blackburn is a good deal higher than the Premier League
home average of 40% (the away average is 55%).

Here are both teams' Bookings stats:

·         Blackburn - Most Booking Points in 8 out of 15 home games
(53%)

·         Tottenham's opponents - most Booking Points in 53% of their
away games

Blackburn are 2/1 (3.00) to get the Most Bookings Points on
Saturday - and Tottenham are Evens (2.00).

FootballBettingData.co.uk figures:

Blackburn home
Booking Pts For = 18.0
Booking Pts Against = 15.7

Tottenham away
Booking Pts For = 24.0
Booking Pts Against = 23.7

First Card percentages:

Blackburn home = 60% First Card (9 out of 15 games)
Tottenham away = 60% First Card (9 out of 15 games)

In their last 3 home games - Blackburn have got the Most Booking
Points AND the First Card (in the last 3 Tottenham away games, the
home team got the Most Booking Points twice and the First Card
once).

The bookies make Tottenham favourite to get the Most Booking Points
and the First Card on Saturday. But the stats and the recent form
show Blackburn are the team to back.

Also available - Blackburn are 6/5 (2.20) to get the 'First Card'
with William Hill and Skybet. Check here for the best odds:

http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/

Bolton v Middlesbrough

Sat 4th April, 3pm
Ref: A.Wiley

The Booking Points stats catch the eye here...

Booking Points

The data on our website shows that two thirds of both teams' games
have paid out on 'Under 35.5 Booking Points' and 'Under 3.5 Cards'
bets so far this season...

·         66.7% of Bolton home games Under 35.5 Booking Points

·         66.7% of Middlesbrough away games Under 35 Booking Points

Bolton's home averages are 12.0 Booking Points For and 15.3
Against, making an average total of 27.3 points per game.

Middlesbrough away average 16.0 points For and 14.0 Against, for a
total of 30.0 points per game.

Recent results point to another 'low' game on Saturday - 4 of the
last 5 Bolton home games have had 2 or less yellow cards in them
(20 or less Booking Points). And in their most recent home game (v
Fulham), there were no cards at all.

There have been 2 or less yellow cards in 3 of the last 5
Middlesbrough away games.

This game is not live on TV - but Bet365, Coral and Partybets are
all offering Cards or Booking Points markets. You can bet 'Under
3.5 Cards' at Bet365 - a bet that has paid out in two thirds of
Bolton's home games, Middlesbrough's away games AND the Referee's
games so far this season.

Arsenal v Manchester City

Sat 4th April, 3pm
Ref: A.Marriner

After a recent run of 4 goalless draws in a row, Arsenal have won
their last 3 Premier League games in a row...

Match Result

Arsenal's home record is 'won 8, drawn 5 and lost 2.' Man City have
only won 1 away game so far. Their away record is 'won 1, drawn 5
and lost 9.'

Arsenal are yet to concede a goal at home in the Premier League in
2009. They have kept 6 Clean Sheets in a row at home - and
Liverpool were the last team to score at the Emirates Stadium, back
in December.

The stats highlight Arsenal 'To Win To Nil' as a good option
here...

·         6 out of 8 Arsenal home wins have been 'To Nil' - 75%

·         6 out of 9 Man City away defeats have been 'To Nil' - 66.7%

Arsenal are just 4/7 (1.57) to win on Saturday. Backing them 'To
Win To Nil' at 6/4 (2.50) looks much better value.

And finally - two Goalscorers to look out for this weekend...

CRISTIANO RONALDO - Manchester Utd v Aston Villa

Man Utd will be without strikers Wayne Rooney (suspended) and
Dimitar Berbatov (injured) for this game...

Cristiano Ronaldo is available though - and he is the Premier
League's second-top scorer with 13 goals this season. Ronaldo has
scored 11 goals in 14 home games. And as the data on our website
shows, he has been the 'First Goalscorer' in 6 of those games.

Ronaldo has scored in 3 of the last 4 league games at Old Trafford,
including the most recent game (v Liverpool). And he is also Man
Utd's chief free kick and penalty taker. Ronaldo has scored 5 goals
in Man Utd's last 7 games against Aston Villa.

• Ronaldo is 11/8 (2.38) in the 'Anytime Scorer' market at Stan
  James. And a best price of 9/2 (5.50) with Bet365 to be the 'First
  Goalscorer.'

You can find the best odds on those markets here:

http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/

PETER CROUCH - Hull v Portsmouth

Portsmouth have scored 3 goals in their last 3 games - and Peter
Crouch has scored all of them.

Crouch has 17 goals in 2008/9 overall, with 11 of them in the
Premier League - putting him in the Top 5 scorers this season. He
also scored for England in the week.

Crouch was the 'First Goalscorer' when Portsmouth drew 2-2 with
this weekend's opponents, Hull, earlier in the season.

• Crouch is 9/4 (3.25) with Coral to score 'Anytime.' And he is
  7/1 (8.00) with Ladbrokes and Coral to be the 'First Goalscorer.'

You can find the best odds on those markets here:

http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/

Good luck with all your bets this weekend!

I'll write to you again on Monday with a look at the weekend's
results...

Best wishes,

Matt Nesbitt

Football Betting Data

Find the Best Odds...

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Half Time Scores, Corners, Bookings, Player info, and much more!

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