
There are 7 Premier League games this weekend - and with none of
the 'Big 4' teams in action until next week, the relegation battle
takes centre stage...
Our standout stats highlight bets on 5 teams that are in the bottom
half of the table today. You can check out the latest stats and
Head-2-Head data for every team and every game at our website:
www.FootballBettingData.co.uk Password: ******
We'll start with the two 'claret and blue' teams taking each other on at Villa
Park on Saturday...
Aston Villa v West Ham
Sat 18th April, 3pm
Ref: R.Styles
Corner Handicap
Aston Villa have won the most corners in over half their home games
this season, while West Ham have been 'out-cornered' in 75% of
their away games...
Corners For / Against average margins:
Aston Villa home +1.9 corners won
West Ham away -3.1 corners won
Aston Villa - Home:
Most Corners = 56% of games
Recent form = Most Corners in 3 of last 5 games
West Ham away:
Most Corners = 19% of games
Recent form = Most Corners in 1 of last 5 games
|
KEY DATA:
The Team Data on our website shows Aston Villa at home are above-
average corner winners (7.4 For). And that West Ham concede more
corners (7.1 Against) per away game than the Premier League
average, which is 6.3.
|
Those season-long figures are reflected in both teams' recent
results...
Aston Villa Corners - last 5 home games:
|
Result
|
Corners
|
Corner Margin
|
|
Aston Villa 0 Wigan 0
|
6-2
|
+4
|
|
Aston Villa 0 Chelsea 1
|
6-12
|
-6
|
|
Aston Villa 2 Stoke 2
|
6-6
|
0
|
|
Aston Villa 1 Tottenham 2
|
9-5
|
+4
|
|
Aston Villa 3 Everton 3
|
11-7
|
+4
|
Villa have won 4 corners more than their opponent in 3 of their
last 5 games - covering a '-3 Corner Handicap' or less each time.
They've won at least 6 corners in all 5 games.
West Ham Corners - last 5 away games:
|
Result
|
Corners
|
Corner Margin
|
|
Arsenal 0 West Ham 0
|
13-3
|
-10
|
|
Bolton 2 West Ham 1
|
4-13
|
+9
|
|
Wigan 0 West Ham 1
|
8-1
|
-7
|
|
Blackburn 1 West Ham 1
|
7-1
|
-6
|
|
Tottenham 1 West Ham
|
10-1
|
-9
|
West Ham have won just one corner in each of their 3 most recent
away games. Backing their opponent with a Corner Handicap as big as
'-5' would have paid out a winner in 4 of their last 5 games.
This game is live on Setanta Ireland, so look out for Corner
Handicap markets at Skybet, Bet365, Paddy Power and Stan James.
|
FBD says:
- 'Asian Handicap Corners: Aston Villa -3' @ 4/5 (1.80) with
Bet365
This 'Asian Handicap Corners' bet wins if Villa win at least 4
corners more than West Ham. If they win exactly 3 corners more than
West Ham, you get your money back.
Bet Now!
You can find the best odds on this bet here:
http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/
|
Also available:
Aston Villa '-3 Corner Handicap' @ 11/10 (2.10) with Paddy Power or
Evens (2.00) with Skybet. This bets pay out if Villa win at least 4
corners more than West Ham. Check here for Corner Handicap odds:
http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/
Portsmouth v Bolton
Sat 18th April, 3pm
Ref: P.Dowd
Goals
Both teams' games are averaging 3 goals or more...
Portsmouth - Home
Total Goals average = 3.00 per game
Over 2.5 Goals games = 62.5%
Recent form = 3 of last 5 games Over 2.5 Goals
Only West Brom and Newcastle have higher home total goals per game
averages than Portsmouth this season.
Bolton - Away
Total Goals average = 3.20 per game
Over 2.5 Goals games = 56.3%
Recent form = 3 of last 5 games Over 2.5 Goals
|
KEY DATA:
Bolton have the highest away total goals per game average in the
Premier League - 3.20 goals per game.
|
- When these two met at the Reebok Stadium in December, there
were 3 goals - Bolton 2 Portsmouth 1
There were 4 goals in Portsmouth's last game at Fratton Park - a 2-
2 draw with West Brom last weekend. And there were 7 goals in
Bolton's 4-3 defeat away at Chelsea last Saturday.
You can get Evens for another Over 2.5 Goals game this weekend...
Stoke v Blackburn
Sat 18th April, 3pm
Ref: H.Webb
Match Result
|
Match odds:
|
|
|
|
Stoke
|
Draw
|
Blackburn
|
|
7/5
|
9/4
|
2/1
|
Stoke are 13th in the league table and Blackburn are 16th. The
Premier League's 'Form Guide' - that takes into account the last 6
games home and away - places Stoke up in 6th and Blackburn in 10th.
Stoke haven't lost at the Britannia Stadium since league leaders
Man Utd beat them 1-0 on Boxing Day...
Stoke - Home record 2008/9
Won 8 - Drawn 5 - Lost 3
Blackburn - Away record 2008/9
Won 4 - Drawn 4 - Lost 8
|
KEY DATA:
·
7 of Stoke's 8 home wins have been by a 1-goal winning margin
(88%)
·
Blackburn have lost 8 away games - and been beaten by 1 goal
in 50% of them
Stoke are 3/1 to win by 1 goal in Blue Square's 'Winning Margin'
market.
|
Stoke have been beaten at home just 3 times this season. That's the
best record outside of the Premier League's 'Big 4' of Man Utd,
Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal.
Recent form...
·
Stoke have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 home games
·
Blackburn have lost 3 and won 2 of their last 5 away games
Last weekend Stoke drew 1-1 at home with Newcastle, while Blackburn
were beaten 4-0 at Liverpool.
Stoke are 7/5 (2.40) to win this weekend. But the safer option
would be Stoke '0 Asian Handicap' or 'Draw No Bet' at 4/6 (1.67) or
bigger...
Those bets pay out if Stoke win - and give you your money back if
it's a draw. If you'd backed Stoke '0 Asian Handicap' or 'Draw No
Bet' in all of their 16 home games so far this season, you'd only
have lost money on 3 occasions.
Also available - Stoke 'Draw No Bet' @ 4/6 (1.67) in general. Check
here for odds:
http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/
And finally, the standout stats for the Premier League's only 'live
TV' game this weekend...
Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle Utd
Sun 19th April, 1.30pm
Live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: M.Halsey
Booking Points
Tottenham don't win many Booking Points at home...
Tottenham - Home
Average Booking Points For = 10.6 per game
Average Booking Points Against = 27.2 per game
Most Booking Points = 6% of games
Recent form = Most Bookings Points in none of last 5 games
The Booking Points 'For and Against' figures show that on average,
the away team wins almost 3 times as many points as Tottenham at
White Hart Lane.
Newcastle - Away
Average Booking Points For = 23.1 per game
Average Booking Points Against = 20.0 per game
Most Booking Points = 50% of games
Recent form = Most Bookings Points in 2 of last 5 games
|
KEY DATA:
Tottenham have played 16 home games this season - and only got the
Most Booking Points once.
|
- When these sides met at St James' Park earlier this season,
Newcastle got the Most Booking Points (30-20)
The recent form also points to Newcastle getting the most points...
·
The away team has got the Most Booking Points in 4 of the
last 5 games at White Hart Lane
·
The home team has only got the Most Booking Points once in
Newcastle's last 5 away games
Tottenham have got 10 or less Booking Points 'For' in 3 of their
last 5 games at White Hart Lane: 20 pts, 10 pts, zero, 20 pts and
10 pts.
Newcastle have got at least 20 Booking Points 'For' (at least 2
yellow cards) in all of their last 5 away games: 20 pts, 20 pts, 30
pts, 30 pts and 20 pts.
Booking Points explained:
Yellow Card = 10 points
Red Card = 25 points
Max. points for one player = 35 points (yellow + red card)
There are 3 more Premier League games on Tuesday and Wednesday
night next week. I'll write to you on Monday with our results from
the weekend and a look at the stats for those games...
Good luck!
Matt Nesbitt
Football Betting Data
Find the Best Odds...
Get the best odds on all your bets at our free Odds Comparison site.
Compare Odds for all Sports and Betting markets at:
http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/
Get Live Scores and Results for every Premier League match - online
Visit our free Results Service website and get the match stats you need
to settle all your bets for every Premier League match – Goals, Full and
Half Time Scores, Corners, Bookings, Player info, and much more!
www.footballbettingresults.co.uk
Free weekly Sports Betting email from the experts!
Get betting tips, systems, and advice for all sports...
Sign up for your free weekly email from the Sports Betting experts at:
www.sportsxtra.co.uk
Contact: Matt Nesbitt, Managing Editor
Please do not reply to this email directly - it is part of an
automated service and will not be read by a human!
For Customer Services or queries:
Email:FootballBettingData@oxonpress.com
Telephone: 0845 0727 387
We may monitor calls to maintain and improve our service.
We research our recommendations and articles thoroughly, but
disclaim all liability for any inaccuracies or omissions found in
this e-mail. All prices correct at time of sending to subscribers.
Copyright © Oxfordshire Press, 2009.
|