Dear Oliver Upstone,

There are 10 more Premier League games this weekend...

And if you followed our recommended bets on Monday, you'll already
be in profit for the week. Newcastle drew with Portsmouth at 5/2.

Newcastle 0 Portsmouth 0

FBD said:
Newcastle and Portsmouth to 'Draw' @ 5/2 - WON
Portsmouth to get the 'First Card'  @ 8/11 - LOST

This weekend the stats have highlighted 7 opportunities - starting
with the live Saturday lunchtime game at the Riverside Stadium...

Middlesbrough v Man Utd

Sat 2nd May, 12.45pm
Live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: M.Halsey

Match Result:

This 'bottom v top' clash sees 19th placed Middlesbrough take on
Premier League leaders Man Utd. Alex Ferguson has said he will rest
players for this game, but the bookies still make United 4/7 (1.57)
favourites to win.

• Man Utd have won 4 of their last 5 away games

It's worth noting that 7 of Man Utd's 9 away wins (77%) have been
by a 1-goal Winning Margin - and 5 of those wins by a 1-0 score-
line.

Middlesbrough have been beaten 4 times at the Riverside Stadium
this season - 2 of those defeats were by exactly 1 goal. The score
in both games was 1-0.

And Man Utd beat Middlesbrough 1-0 at Old Trafford earlier this
season. Odds of 5/2 for another narrow Man Utd victory this weekend
look good value...

Goals:

Both teams' Goals stats point 'Under' here...

• 70.6% of Middlesbrough home games are going Under 2.5 Goals

• 68.7% of Man Utd's away games have been Under 2.5 Goals

The Head-2-Head stats on our website show both teams' games are
averaging 2 or less Total Goals per game. Middlesbrough home games
average 1.9 goals - and so do Man Utd's away games.

Last time out at home Middlesbrough drew 0-0 with Fulham. In fact,
4 of their last 5 games at the Riverside have been Under 2.5 Goals.
There have been 2 or less goals scored in 3 of Man Utd's last 5
away games.

Chelsea v Fulham

Sat 2nd May, 3pm
Ref: A.Wiley

There are two strong 'Under' trends for this game...

Cards and Booking Points:

Chelsea home games are averaging 27.6 Booking Points per game this
season (less than 3 yellow cards per game). And Fulham have the
lowest away Bookings stats in the Premier League...

Fulham have an average total of just 15.8 pts per game, and 15 of
their 17 away games have had Under 35.5 Booking Points.

• 76.5% of Chelsea home games have had Under 35.5 Booking
  Points 

• 88.2% of Fulham's away games have also paid out a winner on
  Under 35.5 Booking Points bets

When Fulham played Chelsea earlier in the season, there were 3
yellow cards (30 Booking Pts) in the game.

There have been 3 or less yellow cards in 4 of Chelsea's last 5
games at Stamford Bridge. And 2 or less yellow cards in 4 of the
last 5 Fulham away games.

Both teams - and the Referee - have great 'low bookings' records
this season. Cards and Booking Points bets are available with
Bet365 and Paddy Power...

The Goals stats also point 'Under' here...

Goals:

Both teams played out several low-scoring games in recent weeks - 8
out Chelsea's last 10 Premier League games have had 2 or less goals
in them. And 7 of Fulham's last 10 games have also paid out on
Under 2.5 Goals bets.

And for the season as a whole, both teams' home and away games are
averaging Under 2.5 Goals respectively...

Chelsea - Home averages
Total Goals = 2.2 per game
Under 2.5 Goals = 64.7% of games

Fulham - Away averages
Total Goals = 1.4 per game
Under 2.5 Goals = 70.6% of games

Last season this fixture finished goalless. And so far this season
7 of the 9 games that Fulham have played against the Premier
League's Top 6 teams have gone Under 2.5 Goals.

Manchester City v Blackburn

Sat 2nd May, 3pm
Ref: M.Dean

Goals:

This game looks a good 'Over' match-up on the Goals stats...

Games at the City of Manchester Stadium are averaging 3.1 goals
this season. And Blackburn also have a high figure, with an away
total goals stat of 2.9 per game.

• 64.7% of Man City home games have paid out a winner on Over
  2.5 Goals bets

• 70.6% of Blackburn away games have also paid out on Over 2.5
  Goals bets

Plenty of goals have been scored in Man City games lately...

Man City's last 5 games in a row - in all competitions - have gone
Over 2.5 Goals. And 4 of Blackburn's last 5 away games have also
had 3 or more goals.

Both teams also have some high Goals 'For and Against' stats. Man
City have scored 36 goals at home this season - only league leaders
Man Utd have scored more (41).

While Blackburn have conceded 32 away goals so far. Only Stoke (35)
and West Brom (33) have conceded more.

And finally - two 'hot trends' to look out for this weekend...

Tottenham v West Brom

Sat 2nd May, 3pm
Ref: R.Styles

Tottenham have gone 5 home games in a row without conceding a
goal...

Tottenham 0 Arsenal 0
Tottenham 4 Middlesbrough 0
Tottenham 1 Chelsea 0
Tottenham 1 West Ham 0
Tottenham 1 Newcastle 0

They've won 4 of those games 'To Nil.' This weekend Tottenham play
the Premier League's bottom club, West Brom.

West Brom have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away games,
have only won once away from home this season and have only scored
10 away goals in total (only Middlesbrough and Fulham have less,
with 9).

Tottenham are just 1/2 (1.50) to beat West Brom. But you can get
11/8 (2.38) for them to keep a 'Clean Sheet' and 7/4 (2.75) for
them 'To Win To Nil' - both those prices are with Skybet.

Sunderland v Everton

Sun 3rd May, 4pm
Live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: M.Atkinson

Sunderland have only received the First Card ONCE in their last 10
home games...

They haven't got the First Card in ANY of their 5 most recent games
at the Stadium of Light, and have only picked it up in 3 out of 17
home games all season.

Sunderland - Home
First Card = 17.6% of games

Everton - Away
First Card = 64.7% of games

Everton have got the First Card in 64% of their away games,
including 3 of their 5 most recent games.

Most bookies make Everton 5/6 (1.83) to get the First Card this
weekend - but a standout price of 6/5 (2.20) is available with
William Hill. That looks decent value.

Remember to check out the Head-2-Head pages on our website for an
at-a-glance guide to the best bets on every fixture this weekend:

www.FootballBettingData.co.uk

Log In with your current Password: ******

It's a long 'Bank Holiday' weekend - so I'll write to you again on
Tuesday with all the latest results...

Good luck,

Matt Nesbitt

Football Betting Data

Find the Best Odds...

Get the best odds on all your bets at our free Odds Comparison site.
Compare Odds for all Sports and Betting markets at:

Get Live Scores and Results for every Premier League match - online

Visit our free Results Service website and get the match stats you need
to settle all your bets for every Premier League match – Goals, Full and
Half Time Scores, Corners, Bookings, Player info, and much more!

www.footballbettingresults.co.uk

Free weekly Sports Betting email from the experts!

Get betting tips, systems, and advice for all sports...
Sign up for your free weekly email from the Sports Betting experts at:

www.sportsxtra.co.uk

Contact: Matt Nesbitt, Managing Editor

Please do not reply to this email directly - it is part of an
automated service and will not be read by a human!

For Customer Services or queries:

Email:FootballBettingData@oxonpress.com

Telephone: 0845 0727 387

We may monitor calls to maintain and improve our service.

We research our recommendations and articles thoroughly, but
disclaim all liability for any inaccuracies or omissions found in
this e-mail. All prices correct at time of sending to subscribers.

Copyright © Oxfordshire Press, 2009.