Tonight - Cash-in on Villa v Man Utd and Everton v Chelsea

Wednesday 10th February 2010

In Football Betting Data today:

• Tuesday night results...
  
• 5 recommended bets for tonight's games...
  
• 3 Goalscorers to follow...

Last night's results

There was a 'blip' on the stats last night with Manchester City's
82% record for Over 10.5 Corners - the highest in the Premier League
- letting us down. However the stats came good at Wigan - landing
our 6th winning bet in a row on 'Under or Over 2.5 Goals.'

Stoke 1 Wigan 1

• FBD said: Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/6 - WON

Man City 2 Bolton 0

Total Corners = 9.

• FBD said: Over 11.5 Corners @ 8/11 - LOST

There are 6 more games tonight, including Arsenal v Liverpool live
on Sky Sports. You can view the full Head-2-Head stats for every
game at our website:

www.FootballBettingData.co.uk            Password: *******

Here are the standout stats for tonight...

Aston Villa v Manchester United

TONIGHT - Wed 10th Feb, 7.45pm
Ref: P.Walton

Man Utd have stepped up their title challenge recently...

They are top of the Premier League 'Form Guide' table after
hammering Portsmouth 5-0 last weekend. United have won their last 4
games. Their last 6 games record is won 5 drawn 1 and lost none.

Meanwhile... Villa are down in 12th on recent form. They've won 1
drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 6 Premier League games.

• Villa have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 games. That
  run includes a 1-0 home defeat to Liverpool and a 0-0 draw with
  Arsenal at Villa Park

• Man Utd have scored in each of their last 7 games

On our Head-2-Head page for Villa v Man Utd, the Form section shows
United 'away' are averaging more Shots, more Shots On Target and
more Possession than Villa 'at home.'

Looking at the stats and the recent form, there are a couple of
options for a bet on Man Utd to win tonight...

• 14 of Man Utd's 18 wins this season have been by more than 1
  goal - including their 11 most recent wins...

• 11 of United's 18 wins have been 'To Nil' - including 4 of
  their last 5 wins...

• Villa have lost 2 home games, and they were both 'To Nil' -
  Wigan beat them 2-0 and Liverpool won 1-0

888 Sport offer some of the best prices on Man Utd tonight...

Man Utd are 10/11 (1.91) to beat Villa.

Man Utd are 6/4 (2.50) to keep a 'Clean Sheet.'

Man Utd 'To Win To Nil' is 9/4 (3.25).

Man Utd '-1 Handicap' (to win by more than 1 goal) is 3/1.

In their last 3 home games, Villa haven't scored a single goal -
while Man Utd have scored 7 goals in their last 3 away games.

AND

The Corners stats also highlight a bet tonight...

• 75% of all Villa games and 64% of Man Utd games have been Over
  10.5 Corners this season

Villa have a particularly strong record, with 9 out of 12 home games
paying out on Over 10.5 Corners bets and games at Villa Park
averaging 13.2 Total Corners.

• There were 13 corners in the reverse fixture at Old Trafford

There have been 11 or more corners in each of Villa's last 6 games,
and in 4 of the last 5 Man Utd games.

The bookies are obviously expecting a 'high corners' game tonight.
Over 10.5 Corners is just 8/15 with Expekt (1.53). Skybet have Over
11 Corners at 8/13 (1.62).

However, bigger prices are available for 13 or more corners...

• 'Over 12 Corners' is Evens (2.00) with Coral and Bet365

Bets on Over 12 Corners would've paid out in 5 of the last 6 Villa
games and 4 of the last 5 Man Utd games.

Everton v Chelsea

TONIGHT - Wed 10th Feb, 7.45pm
Ref: A.Wiley  

The last 3 Premier League games between Everton and Chelsea have
been Draws. It was 3-3 at Stamford Bridge this season, and both
games were 0-0 in 2008/9.

Looking at the recent home and away form, this could be a tough game
for league leaders Chelsea. Everton have won their last 3 games at
Goodison Park, and their Last 6 record at home is won 3, drawn 2 and
lost 1. Chelsea's Last 6 away record is won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1.

The stats highlight 2 standout bets for this game...

• 67% of Everton home games and 83% of Chelsea away games have
  been Over 10.5 Corners

• Games at Goodison Park average 11.7 Total Corners - the figure
  for Chelsea away games is 13.5

• Bets on Over 10.5 Corners have paid out a winner in the last 8
  Everton games AND the last 7 Chelsea games in a row

Both teams also match-up well on the Cards and Booking Points stats:

There was just 1 yellow card (10 Booking Points) in the 3-3 draw
between Chelsea and Everton earlier this season, and the recent form
points to another 'Under' game this evening.

• Bets on Under 3.5 Cards (or Under 35.5 Booking Points) have
  paid out in 4 of the last 5 Everton games and 4 of the last 5
  Chelsea games

The only one of those 5 Everton games that went 'Over' was the
fiercely contested Merseyside derby away at Liverpool...

For tonight's game, two of Everton's 'main offenders' won't be on
the pitch. Steven Pienaar is suspended after being sent off in that
game, and Marouane Fellaini is out injured. That's good news for an
'Under' bet tonight, as Fellaini has picked up 7 yellow cards this
season (only one player in the Premier League has got more than that
- Bolton's Kevin Davies with 8).

There was 1 yellow card shown in Everton's last game at Goodison
Park, v Sunderland. And there were no bookings at all in the game
before that, home v Man City.

The Referee for tonight's game is Alan Wiley. Bets on Under 3.5
Cards would've paid out in 7 of his last 10 Premier League games.

3 Goalscorers to follow tonight...

And finally... here are 3 in-form strikers to look out for this
evening.

Chelsea's Didier Drogba has scored 3 goals in 2 games since
returning from injury. He's 2nd in the Premier League Top Scorer
charts with 17 goals this season.

• Drogba is 13/8 (2.63) with Coral to score against Everton
  tonight ('Score In 90 Minutes' market) and 5/1 (6.00) to be 'First Goalscorer'

Man Utd's Wayne Rooney is the Premier League's Top Scorer with 21
goals from 24 games so far. He's scored 10 goals in his last 10
games in all competitions - including goals in each of United's last
4 league games. Rooney has been the First Goalscorer on 10 occasions
this season.

• At Boylesports, Rooney is 11/8 (2.38) in the 'Anytime
  Goalscorer' market and 9/2 (5.50) to be 'First Goalscorer' against
  Aston Villa tonight

Dirk Kuyt is Liverpool's 2nd highest scorer this season, behind the
injured Fernando Torres. He has 9 goals, Torres has 12. Kuyt has
scored 4 goals in his last 4 games. In fact he's scored 4 of his
team's 5 goals in that period. Tonight Liverpool travel to Arsenal -
Kuyt hit the back of the net against them in a 2-1 defeat earlier in
the season.

• At Coral, Kuyt is 13/5 (3.60) to 'Score In 90 Minutes' and 8/1
  (9.00) to be the 'First Goalscorer'

You can find the best odds on Anytime Scorer, First Goalscorer and
all Premier League bets here:

http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-
league/

There are no Premier League games this weekend. But look out for an email
from me on Friday with a look at the latest results, and an
exclusive report on the 'Top Trends' - the bets paying out most
often on every team this season...

Best wishes,

Matt Nesbitt

Football Betting Data

www.FootballBettingData.co.uk            Password: *******

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