Play your Cards right at Spurs, Man Utd and Sunderland

Friday 12th March 2010

In Football Betting Data today:

• Monday night winner...
  
• 6 ways to cash-in this weekend...
  
• Standout stats for the 4 live TV games...

It's been a busy week of football with Premier League, Champions
League and Europa League games every night...

Now the weekend's here and the action continues with a full round of
Premier League games - including 4 games live on Sky Sports and
ESPN. Read on for our match previews and standout stats for all 4.

For Head-2-Head betting stats on every game - log-in at our website:

www.FootballBettingData.co.uk      Password: ******

Monday night winner...

We started the week off with a winner at the DW Stadium.

Wigan 1 Liverpool 0

• FBD said: Under 2.5 Goals @ 8/11 - WON

This was a big win for Wigan - and a bad defeat for Liverpool, who
were odds-on favourites before kick off. Bets on Under 2.5 Goals
have now paid out in 5 of the last 6 Wigan home games and in
Liverpool's last 9 away games in a row.

6 ways to cash-in this weekend...

Here are the standout stats for this weekend's games...

Tottenham Hotspur v Blackburn Rovers

Sat 13th March, 12.45pm - Live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: H.Webb

Tottenham are unbeaten in their last 6 games at White Hart Lane, and
beat Everton 2-1 in their last home game. Blackburn lost 2-1 at
Liverpool last weekend, are haven't won any of their last 8 away
games.

When these two met at Ewood Park earlier in the season, Spurs won 2-
0. The bookies make them just 4/9 (1.44) to win again tomorrow.

The Corners and Bookings stats point to two other options here...

• Tottenham have won the Most Corners in 7 of their last 10
  Premier League games

• Blackburn have only won the Most Corners in 2 of their last 10
  games

Spurs have won the Most Corners in over half their home games (57%)
while Blackburn have only got the Most Corners in 4 out of 14 away
games (29%).

The Head-2-Head data on our website shows Tottenham are winning an
average of 2 or more corners more than opponents at White Hart Lane
- their home 'corners margin' is +2.4. Blackburn's away figure is -
1.7 corners.

The Booking Points stats, on the other hand, point to Blackburn...

Tottenham's home Booking Points averages (per game) are: 15.0 Pts
For and 23.9 Pts Against. While Blackburn are averaging twice as
many points per away game than their opponents - 20.4 Pts For and
10.7 Pts Against.

• In their last 6 games, Tottenham have only received the First
  Card in 1 game and the Most Booking Points in 1 game

• Blackburn have picked up the First Card in 4 of their last 6
  games and got the Most Bookings Points in 4 of their last 6 games

For the season as a whole, Blackburn have got the First Card in 57%
of away games, and the Most Booking Points in 57% too.

Spurs have only got the First Card in 3 home games and the Most
Booking Points in 2 out of 14 home games all season (14%).

• Also available - Blackburn are 4/7 (1.57) to receive the
  'First Card' at William Hill and Bet365.
  
  

Hull v Arsenal

Sat 13th March, 5.30pm - Live on ESPN
Ref: A.Marriner

Hull have only won 1 of their last 14 games - while in-form Arsenal
have won 4 Premier League games in a row, and hammered Porto 5-0 at
home in the Champions League on Tuesday. Arsenal are the bookies'
4/9 favourites to win.

The Corners stats also point to Arsenal...

• Hull haven't won the Most Corners in any of their last 15
  games

• Arsenal have won the Most Corners in 12 of their last 15 games

Arsenal have won the Most Corners in 11 out of 14 away games - 79% -
and are winning an average of 3 corners more than opponents per away
game.

For the season as a whole, Arsenal have won the Most Corners in 24
out of 29 Premier League games - an impressive 83% strike rate. That
includes the home game v Hull when Arsenal won 3-0 - and won the
corner count 8-0.

The stats and recent form suggest more of the same this weekend.

Manchester United v Fulham

Sun 14th March, 1.30pm - Live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: M.Jones

Man Utd and Fulham look to match-up well on the Bookings Points
stats...

• 11 of the last 15 Man Utd games and 12 of the last 15 Fulham
  games have been Under 35.5 Booking Points and Under 3.5 Cards

Those 'Under' bets would've paid out a winner in 64% of Man Utd home
games and 71% of Fulham away games so far.

Games at Old Trafford are averaging 30.4 Total Booking Points (Eg. 3
Yellow Cards), and Fulham away games are averaging 26.0 Pts.

When Fulham beat Man Utd 3-0 at Craven Cottage earlier this season,
there was just 1 Yellow Card in the game - 10 Pts. And when Man Utd
beat Fulham 3-0 in this fixture last season, there were 20 Booking
Points.

Cards and Booking Points bets explained...

Yellow Card = 10 pts. Red Card = 25 pts.
Max per player in one game = 35 pts.

Bet365 'Cards':
Yellow = 1. Red = 2.
Max per player in one game = 3.

Sunderland v Manchester City

Sun 14th March, 4pm - Live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: C.Foy

A high Booking Points total could be on the cards in this game...

• 11 out of 14 Sunderland home games have gone Over 35 Booking
  Points and Over 3.5 Cards - 79%

• 9 out of 14 Man City away games have gone Over 35 Booking
  Points and Over 3.5 Cards - 64%

Sunderland home games are producing an average of 53.9 Booking
Points - just over 5 Yellow Cards. Man City away games have been
averaging 49.3 Booking Points - just under 5 Yellow Cards.

All of Sunderland's last 5 home games have paid out on those 'Over'
bets. And so have 4 of Man City's last 5 away games.

The last time these two met Man City won 4-3 - with the game
producing 65 Booking Points.

Birmingham City v Everton

Sat 13th March, 3pm
Ref: L.Probert

The Head-2-Head 'Form' data on our website shows how closely-matched
Birmingham and Everton are:

• Both teams' average Shots For figure is 12.0, with around 4
  'On Target'...

• Both teams average approx. 14 Shots Against per game...

• Both teams' Possession stat is 48%...

Birmingham are 8th in the Premier League table and Everton are 9th -
(2 points behind). Earlier this season the game at Goodison Park
finished in a 1-1 draw.

Birmingham have drawn 3 of their last 6 home games - and Everton
have drawn 3 of their last 6 away games.

• The most common result in Everton games this season has been
  the 1-1 draw - 5 of their games have finished with that score-line.
  The 1-1 Correct Score is 6/1 with Skybet

The Draw is 12/5 with the bookies. That's the biggest price out of
the three Match Result options - but the stats highlight it as the
most likely outcome.

Enjoy the weekend's action. I'll write to you again on Monday with
the stats and results from the weekend, and a look at another live
TV game - Liverpool v Portsmouth is on ESPN on Monday night...

View Head-2-Head stats for every Premier League game at our site:

www.FootballBettingData.co.uk      Password: ******

Best wishes,

Matt Nesbitt

Football Betting Data

www.FootballBettingData.co.uk      Password: ******

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