The standout stats for Man City v Man Utd
Friday 16th April 2010
In Football Betting Data today:
- 2 out of 3 winners – another draw for Villa and Everton…
- Cash-in on the Manchester derby…
- 6 standout stats for the weekend…
There are a couple of eye-catching games on TV this weekend, with Man City v Man Utd on live on Sky Sports and Tottenham v Chelsea live on ESPN on Saturday.
Read on for the standout stats and my recommended bets for the weekend. But first, news of 2 midweek winners…
Midweek winners…
Chelsea 1 Bolton 0
- FBD said: Chelsea To Win To Nil @ 4/6 – WON
The goals stats gave us a winner here - Bolton have now lost their last 4 away games ‘To Nil’ and have only scored in 1 of their last 6 Premier League games.
Wigan 0 Portsmouth 0
- FBD said: Time of the First Goal – After 27th Minute @ Evens – LOST
Under 2.5 Goals turned out to be the better option here – the ‘First Goal’ never came.
Aston Villa 2 Everton 2
- FBD said: Aston Villa v Everton to be a Draw @ 12/5 – WON
The Premier League’s ‘draw specialists’ were at it again on Wednesday night. An injury time own goal salvaged a point for Villa – 8 of their last 13 games have now been Draws, and so have 4 of Everton’s last 6 games. This one was a good priced winner for us at 12/5. The last 3 games between Villa and Everton have all been draws.
- You’d have also made a profit placing ‘3 Doubles’ on those midweek bets. The Double on Chelsea ‘To Win To Nil’ and the Villa v Everton ‘Draw’ paid out at over 4/1 with Paddy Power
For the latest Team Stats and Head-2-Head comparisons for all this weekend’s Premier League games, log-in at our website:
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Here are the standout stats…
Manchester City v Manchester United
Sat 17th April, 12.45pm live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: S.Bennett
POS. |
PLD |
W |
D |
L |
GD |
PTS |
|
| Man City | 4th |
33 |
17 |
11 |
5 |
+28 |
62 |
| Man Utd | 2nd |
34 |
23 |
4 |
7 |
+50 |
73 |
| Match odds: | ||
| Man City | Draw |
Man Utd |
| 15/8 | 5/2 |
6/4 |
These two city rivals have already played each other 3 times this season across the league and the Carling Cup, with all 3 games going Over 2.5 Goals…
Man Utd won 4-3 at Old Trafford in the Premier League, and the Cup ties ended 3-1 at Man Utd and 2-1 at City.
- Man City home games average 3.5 Total Goals
- Man Utd away games average 2.8 Total Goals
For the season as whole both teams’ Under / Over records are about 50/50. But in recent weeks both teams have been scoring plenty of goals. City have scored 16 times in their last 5 games and United have scored 10…
- Bets on Over 2.5 Goals have paid out in 4 of the last 5 City games
- Bets on Over 2.5 Goals have paid out in 4 of the last 5 United games
There will be some in-form strikers on show on Saturday lunchtime, and that’s a good sign for a ‘high goals’ game. Premier League top scorer Wayne Rooney is odds-on to return from injury for Man Utd, while Carlos Tevez and Emmanuel Adebayor have scored 9 goals between them in City’s last 3 games.
Bet Now! http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/
|
Fulham v Wolves
Sat 17th April, 3pm
Ref: M.Dean
POS. |
PLD |
W |
D |
L |
GD |
PTS |
|
| Fulham | 12th |
33 |
11 |
9 |
13 |
-2 |
42 |
| Wolves | 14th |
34 |
8 |
9 |
17 |
-23 |
33 |
| Match odds: | ||
| Fulham | Draw |
Wolves |
| 11/10 | 12/5 |
3/1 |
These two match-up well on the Cards and Booking Points stats…
- Fulham home games average 21.9 Total Booking Points
- Wolves away games average 32.7 Total Booking Points
Fulham’s last 10 home games have ALL been Under 3.5 Cards and Under 35.5 Booking Points - a very impressive record.
Bets on Under 3.5 Cards and Under 35.5 Booking Points would’ve paid out a winner in 8 of Wolves’ last 10 Premier League game. Last week they drew 0-0 with Stoke and there were no bookings in the game.
When Wolves beat Fulham 2-1 earlier in the season, there was just 1 yellow card (10 pts) in the game.
The Referee for this one - Mike Dean - has taken charge of 2 Fulham games and 1 Wolves game this season, and those ‘Under’ bets would’ve paid out in all 3 of them.
This 'Asian Total Cards - Under 3' bet wins if there are 2 or less Cards in the game. If there are exactly 3 Cards, the bet is void and you get your money back. Bet365 'Cards': Bet Now! http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/
|
Sunderland v Burnley
Sat 17th April, 3pm
Ref: H.Webb
POS. |
PLD |
W |
D |
L |
GD |
PTS |
|
| Sunderland | 13th |
34 |
9 |
11 |
14 |
-8 |
38 |
| Burnley | 18th |
34 |
7 |
6 |
21 |
-36 |
27 |
| Match odds: | ||
| Sunderland | Draw |
Burnley |
| 8/13 | 11/4 |
11/2 |
The stats point to just one player here – Darren Bent…
Bent is the joint-3rd top scorer in the Premier League with 22 goals, and 16 of them (73%) have been scored at home.
He’s scored 7 goals in Sunderland’s last 4 games at the Stadium of Light (and he managed to miss 2 penalties in one of those games, too).
Bent got Sunderland’s goal in their 3-1 defeat at Burnley earlier this season, and considering Burnley haven’t kept a Clean Sheet in any of their last 23 games, he looks by far the most likely player to score against them again this weekend.
- Bent has scored 16 goals at home for Sunderland – and scored the First Goal in 9 home games. He’s 3/1 to be the First Goalscorer v Burnley
Bet Now! http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/
|
Tottenham v Chelsea
Sat 17th April, 5.30pm live on ESPN
Ref: P.Dowd
POS. |
PLD |
W |
D |
L |
GD |
PTS |
|
| Tottenham | 5th |
33 |
18 |
7 |
8 |
+27 |
61 |
| Chelsea | 1st |
34 |
24 |
5 |
5 |
+55 |
77 |
| Match odds: | ||
| Tottenham | Draw |
Chelsea |
| 10/3 | 5/2 |
10/11 |
Tottenham did Chelsea a bit of a favour during the week, effectively ending Arsenal's challenge for the title with a confidence boosting 2-1 win. Chelsea are favourites with the bookies, but looks a difficult match result to predict - plus the outcome of the earlier kick-offs is likely to influence how the two teams' approach this one.
But there is an outstanding match-up in both teams' Booking stats...
- Tottenham have only received the 1st Booking in 1 of their last 10
home matches
- Tottenham have only received the Most Bookings in 2 of their last
10 home matches
- Chelsea have received the 1st Booking in 8 of their last 10 away
matches
- Chelsea have received the Most Bookings in 6 of their last 10 away
matches
Tottenham have only picked up the First Card in 24% of games at White Hart Lane. Chelsea have received the First Card in over half of their away games.
Add to this, Tottenham's most combative player Wilson Palacios (10 Yellow Cards) will miss the match through suspension. So Chelsea look a solid bet to continue the trend of picking up the 1st Booking.
Check also for 'First Card' bets with William Hill, Skybet, Blue Square, 888 Sport, Expekt and Paddy Power. Bet Now! Bet365: www.Bet365.com
|
Wigan v Arsenal
Sun 18th April, 1.30pm live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: L.Mason
POS. |
PLD |
W |
D |
L |
GD |
PTS |
|
| Wigan | 16th |
34 |
8 |
8 |
18 |
-34 |
32 |
| Arsenal | 3rd |
34 |
22 |
5 |
7 |
+40 |
71 |
| Match odds: | ||
| Wigan | Draw |
Arsenal |
| 11/2 | 3/1 |
4/7 |
‘Low Corners’ bets have paid out in the majority of both teams’ recent games…
- 6 of Wigan’s last 9 games have been Under 10.5 Corners
- 8 of Arsenal’s last 9 games have been Under 10.5 Corners
Both teams’ games are averaging Under 11 Total Corners. The average for Wigan home games is 10.6 Total Corners and the figure for Arsenal away games is 10.4.
There were 10 corners in Arsenal’s 4-0 win over Wigan at the Emirates Stadium earlier this season, 6 corners to Arsenal and 4 to Wigan.
Bets on Under 10.5 Corners and Under 11 Corners have paid out a winner in 4 of the last 5 Arsenal away games.
This bet wins if there are 10 or less corners in the game. Check also for Total Corners bets with Bet365, Stan James, Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfred, William Hill, Coral, Blue Square, 888 Sport and Extrabet. Bet Now! http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/
|
Portsmouth v Aston Villa
Sun 18th April, 4pm live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: S.Attwell
POS. |
PLD |
W |
D |
L |
GD |
PTS |
|
| Portsmouth | 20th |
34 |
6 |
6 |
22 |
-32 |
15 |
| Aston Villa | 7th |
33 |
14 |
13 |
6 |
+12 |
55 |
| Match odds: | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw |
Aston Villa |
| 5/1 | 11/4 |
4/6 |
Aston Villa’s corners stats have provided one of the most reliable bets of the season…
- 13 out of 16 Aston Villa away games have been Over 10.5 Corners – 81%
- There have been 12 or more corners in 14 of Aston Villa’s last 15 games – that’s a very strong ‘high corners’ trend
There were 12 corners in the game when Villa beat Portsmouth 2-0 earlier this season. And Portsmouth match-up well for an ‘Over’ bet on Sunday:
- Our Head-2-Head stats show both teams’ games average 12 or more corners Total Corners
- 7 of Portsmouth’s last 10 Premier League games have been Over 10.5 Corners
- 12 out of 17 Portsmouth home games have been Over 10.5 Corners this season – 71%
There were 11 corners in Portsmouth’s 0-0 draw at Wigan on Wednesday night and 14 corners in Aston Villa’s 2-2 draw with Everton. The stats point to another ‘Over’ game on Sunday afternoon.
This bet wins if there are 12 or more corners in the game. Check also for Total Corners bets with Bet365, Stan James, Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfred, William Hill, Coral, Blue Square, 888 Sport and Expekt. Bet Now! Extrabet: www.Extrabet.com
|
I’ll be back on Monday with the latest Premier League results and a look at the stats for the live Monday night game between Liverpool v West Ham…
Best wishes,
Matt Nesbitt
Football Betting Data
www.FootballBettingData.co.uk Password: *****
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