Aston Villa's 84% record - and top trends for every team
this weekend
Friday 20th August 2010
In Football Betting Data today:
- Man Utd keep up their 84% home record...
- Standout stats for this weekend's 3 live games...
- The 'top trends' for every team...
- FBD member "Happy to report good profits"...
The new season continues this weekend - and Chelsea and Man Utd star
in the live TV games...
Read on for the standout stats for the live games, and the proven
moneymaking trends to look out for in the rest of the weekend's
Premier League fixtures. First - a result to catch up on from
earlier in the week.
Man Utd 3 Newcastle 0
Man Utd kept up their 84% strike rate from last season, with a home
win and yet another game at Old Trafford going Over 2.5 Goals. With
Man Utd scoring all the goals, they also landed the -1 Match
Handicap bet. Both those options paid out at 4/6 with the bookies on
Monday night.
Standout stats for the live games...
Early-season games can be a minefield - especially for picking match
results - and I won't be giving you any 'recommended bets' on
specific games until there's a bit more form in the book.
However as you'll see below, some of last season's most reliable
trends continued in the opening week of 2010/11 - here are the
markets to look out for if you are thinking of having a bet this
weekend...
Wigan v Chelsea
Sat 21st Aug, 5.15pm - Live on Sky Sports 2
Ref: M.Dean
Both teams' games saw plenty of goals on the opening day last
weekend. Wigan lost 4-0 at home to Premier League newcomers
Blackpool, while Chelsea dished out a 6-0 beating to newly-promoted
West Brom.
-
Chelsea were the Premier League's joint-top away scorers last
season with 35 goals scored. Their away games averaged 2.7 Total
Goals -
Bets on Over 2.5 Goals paid out in 63% of Chelsea's away games
last season -
Both Wigan v Chelsea games went Over 2.5 Goals in 2009/10 -
Wigan beat Chelsea 3-1 at the DW Stadium but Chelsea got their
revenge with an 8-0 hammering to win the league on the final day of
the season
Stan James, Skybet and Blue Square make it 4/6 (1.67) for another
Over 2.5 Goals game on Saturday.
Chelsea are just 1/5 (1.20) to win their first away game. Last
season 7 of Chelsea's 10 away wins were by more than 1 goal - at
Stan James Chelsea are 8/11 (1.73) with a -1 Match Handicap.
Wigan v Chelsea 9/2 to be highest scoring game... Chelsea's 6-0 win over West Brom was the highest scoring game of the opening weekend, and Boylesports make Wigan v Chelsea a 9/2 shot to be this weekend's 'Highest Scoring Premier League Game.' Arsenal v Blackpool is the 7/2 favourite. All 10 of this weekend's games count - you can view the full list of |
Newcastle Utd v Aston Villa
Sun 22nd Aug, 1.30pm - Live on ESPN
Ref: M.Atkinson
Aston Villa racked up a huge corner total in their 3-0 win over West
Ham last weekend. Villa won 16 corners on their own - and there were
23 Total Corners.
-
Bets on Over 10.5 Corners paid out in 61% of Newcastle games
in The Championship last season -
Aston Villa were the Premier League's most reliable team for
'high' Total Corners bets last season, with 81% of all games and 84%
of away games paying out on Over 10.5 Corners
Different bookies offer different Total Corners bets. Expekt and
Extrabet will have Over 10.5 Corners markets this weekend.
Total Corners bets are also available for all live games at Skybet,
Bet365, Paddy Power, Blue Square, 888 Sport, Betfred, Stan James,
William Hill, Coral and on Betfair.
Fulham v Man Utd
Sun 22nd Aug, 4pm - Live on Sky Sports 1
Ref: P.Walton
Fulham started the new season with a goalless draw at Bolton last
weekend, while Man Utd beat Newcastle 3-0 - with the First Goal
scored in the 33rd minute by Dimitar Berbatov.
-
In Fulham home games last season, the average First Goal Time
was 39 minutes -
In Man Utd away games the average First Goal Time was 44
minutes -
The average First Goal Time in the Premier League last season
was 33 minutes
Most bookies bet on the Time of First Goal 'Before' or 'After' the
27th or 28th minute.
Paddy Power have the best (lowest) option on offer for Fulham v Man
Utd - where 'After 25th Minute' is available at 10/11.
The top trends for EVERY team...
I'll also be looking out for these 'top trends' this weekend...
Arsenal v Blackpool
Arsenal won the Most Corners in 17 of their 19 home games last
season (89%), and averaged 3.9 corners per game more than opponents.
- The bookies will be giving Arsenal a big Corner Handicap for
this one (a -5 Corner Handicap would mean Arsenal have to win at
least 6 corners more than Blackpool)
Birmingham v Blackburn
The average First Goal Time in Birmingham home games last season was
a high 46 minutes, and the average for Blackburn away games was 41
mins.
- Stan James offer bets on 'After 27th Minute'
West Brom v Sunderland
Sunderland have three strong trends from last season that all
continued on the opening weekend. They received the Most Booking
Points in 60% of games and 84% of away games last season, and the
First Goal was scored 'Before 28th Minute' in 74% of games. Darren
Bent scored half of all his team's goals - and was the First
Goalscorer 14 times, more than any other Premier League player.
-
William Hill offer bets on the team with the Most Booking
Points and Bet365 run a similar market called Card Handicap -
Blue Square and 888 Sport offer bets on Time of First Goal
'Before 33rd Minute' -
Darren Bent is 15/8 with Coral to Score Anytime and 11/2 to be
First Goalscorer
West Ham v Bolton
West Ham's opponents received the First Card in 79% of home games
last season and the Most Booking Points in 74%. Bolton's figures
were the opposite - they received the First Card in 68% of away
games and the Most Booking Points in 74%.
- William Hill offer First Card and Most Booking Points markets.
And Bet365 have First Card and Card Handicap bets
Download your Team-by-Team Guides today
To find out the 'top trends' for every team, check out the Premier
League Team-by-Team Guides that I put together for you at the start
of the season...
Part One covers Arsenal to Liverpool:
www.footballoffer.co.uk/pdf/fbdpremteams1.pdf
Part Two has the stats for Man City to Wolves:
www.footballoffer.co.uk/pdf/fbdpremteams2.pdf
Football Betting Data member Jamie B had a profitable start to the
season using the Team-by-Team guides...
...'Happy to report good profits'...
"Thoroughly enjoyed the first weekend, and happy to report good
profits even without any form in the book, which bodes well. With
fine assistance from your top team trends downloads.
I landed 3 bets on Sunderland v Birmingham, Bent 1st goal (9/2),
early goal, and Sunderland with a 0 card handicap (21/10) ... Won on
Stoke on the card handicap at Wolves too, and of course the ever
reliable corner-fest that is Villa v West Ham. Villa hit the 11
corner mark themselves after half an hour!
Looking forward to the season ahead!"
Jamie B, email 16th Aug
You can view the Team guides and all your exclusive Football Betting
Data reports on the new 'Downloads' page at our website.
Log-in at: www.FootballBettingData.co.uk Password: *****
To keep track of all the live stats and scores this weekend, go to
our Live Scoreboard at www.FootballBettingResults.co.uk - the
site is updated live in-play with Goals, Corners and Booking Points
stats.
I'll write to you again on Monday with the results from the weekend,
and a look at the standout stats for the Man City v Liverpool game
on Monday night...
Best wishes,
Matt Nesbitt
Football Betting Data
www.FootballBettingData.co.uk Password: *****
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