Cash-in on Liverpool and Man City tonight

Wednesday 16th December 2009

In today's email:

• Last night's results
  
• Standout stats for tonight's games...
  
• More to come at the weekend...

A couple of near misses last night, with a grandstand finish at
Birmingham resulting in a late flurry of corners - and just one (or
even 'half') a corner kick away from a winner at Man Utd...

Last night's results - near misses at St Andrews and Old Trafford

'Stats watch' - As well as the results of our recommended bets, I've
also included other trends on our radar that paid out again last
night.

Sunderland 0 Aston Villa 2

Corners = Sunderland 7 Villa 1

FBD said:

• Corners Handicap - Villa +1 corner @ 5/6 - LOST

Villa led for the most the match, scoring a goal in either half.
Sunderland were chasing goals, and they ended up getting 6 corners
more than the away team.

• Stats watch... 
  Last week we had a winner on Sunderland to get the First Card. They
  kept up that home trend last night with their captain, Lorik Cana
  getting a first yellow card after just 13 minutes (he was later sent
  off). Sunderland have now received the First Card in 8 out of 9 home
  games - 89%.

Man Utd 3 Wolves 0

Total Corners = 11*

FBD said:

• 'Asian Total Corners - Over 11.5' @ 19/20 - LOST

* Check with the bookie you placed your bet with to see whether or
not you got a payout on this one. There were 12 corners 'awarded' in
the game - but only 11 of them were 'taken.' The corner kick in
question came right on half time - the Referee gave a Man Utd corner
but then blew for Half Time before it was taken.

Rules on Bet365 website: 'Corners awarded but not taken do not
count.' The 'FBD says' bet I quoted in yesterday's email was with
Bet365 - so that bet goes down as a near miss for us.

• Stats watch... 
  Man Utd have won the Most Corners in 100% of games at Old Trafford.
  Last night the corners score was 8-3. However United have to win
  stacks of corners to beat the bookies' Corner Handicap mark these
  days - last night the Corner Handicap was -5 (and that bet would've
  lost).

Birmingham 2 Blackburn 1

Total Corners = 13

FBD said:

• Under 11.5 Corners @ 4/6 - LOST

Another near miss. With 90 minutes of normal time gone there'd been
just 9 corners. But an end-to-end finish with both teams going all-
out resulted in 4 corners in the 3 minutes of 'added on' time,
taking the total to 13.

• Stats watch...
  Last week we had a winner on Birmingham to win at home (beat West
  Ham 1-0). Last night's win makes it 5 wins in a row for the Blues -
  and keeps them top of the Premier League 'Form Guide' table. 

• Stats watch... 
  At the weekend I mentioned Birmingham's Winning Margin stats - after last night, they have won by exactly 1 goal in ALL 8 of the games
  they've won this season. That 'Winning Margin' bet generally pays
  out at 3/1.

Bolton 3 West Ham 1

FBD said:

• Over 2.5 Goals @ 10/11 - WON

This one was goalless at Half Time - but 4 goals came in the 2nd
Half.

• Stats watch... 
  Bets on Over 2.5 Goals have paid out in 5 of the last 6 Bolton home
  games and 5 of the last 6 West Ham away games.
  
  

Tonight's games...

Burnley v Arsenal - 7.45pm
Chelsea v Portsmouth - 7.45pm
Liverpool v Wigan - 8pm
Tottenham v Man City - 8pm live on Sky Sports 2

There are 4 more Premier League games tonight - and I've highlighted
bets on 2 of them for you below. For the Head-2-Head stats for all 4
games, Log In at our website:

www.FootballBettingData.co.uk      Password: ****

Liverpool v Wigan

Tonight 8pm
Ref: P.Dowd

Liverpool are strong corner winners at Anfield. On average they're
winning 5 corners per game more than opponents (+5.3 Corners
margin). Wigan's away figure is -2.8 Corners.

• Liverpool have won the Most Corners in 7 out of 8 home games
  (87.5%)

• Wigan have been 'out-cornered' in 7 out of 8 away games
  (87.5%)

After a poor run of results Liverpool will be absolutely desperate
to get a win tonight. Whether or not they get it is a different
matter - but the stats suggest Liverpool are likely to win plenty of
corners trying.

William Hill offer Liverpool with a -3 Corner Handicap tonight. That
bet would've paid out a winner in 6 of their 8 home games so far.

Also available: 'Asian Handicap Corners - Liverpool -4.5' @ 17/20
with Bet365 pays out if Liverpool win at least 5 corners more than
Wigan.

Tottenham v Man City

Tonight 8pm
Live on Sky Sports 2
Ref: A.Wiley

Tottenham have won the Most Corners in 50% of home games and 44% of
games overall. That's not a great record, and the stats show both
teams are evenly matched here:

• Tottenham home corner averages = 5.1 For and 4.9 Against

• Man City away corner averages = 6.0 For and 5.9 Against

Man City are available with +2 Corner Handicap tonight. That bet
would've paid out a winner in 12 of their 15 Premier League games
this season (80%), in 6 out of their 8 away games (75%) - and in 9
of their last 10 games.

Last week City won the corner count 9-5 away at Bolton, while Spurs
lost the corner count 3-5 at home to Wolves.

Also available - Stan James, Paddy Power, Skybet, Boylesports and
Bet365 offer Man City with a '+1 Corner Handicap' (that bet that
wins if Tottenham don't get the most corners).

Find the best odds on all tonight's games here:

http://odds.sportsxtra.co.uk/football/england/premier-league/
round-17/

More to come at the weekend...

There's also a full schedule of Premier League games at the weekend
- 6 games on Saturday, 3 on Sunday and 1 on Monday night. And 5 of
those games are live on TV.

I'll be back in touch on Friday with our weekend preview email.

Best wishes,

Matt Nesbitt

Football Betting Data

www.FootballBettingData.co.uk      Password: ****

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