Football Betting Data

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Thursday 12th January 2012

In your Preview email today:

10 ways to watch and win this weekend...
Corner a winner on these PL Big Boys...
Latest Results - 5 out of 5 winners!

Tottenham are now level on points with 2nd placed Man Utd after
beating Everton 2-0 last night. Spurs are just 3 points behind
leaders Man City but the bookies don't seem to be taking their title
bid that seriously as Harry Redknapp's side are still 7/1 to win the
Premier League.

It was a great night for us on the stats with all 5 of our bets
winning. You can see all our winning bets at the end of today's email.

But first here's what the stats say is most likely to happen in the
Premier League this weekend. Remember these are NOT recommended bets
- you'll get those in tomorrow's (Friday) Bet Bulletin email.

We'll start by looking at the games that are live on TV...

Newcastle v QPR

Sun 15th Jan, 1.30pm - live on Sky Sports 1

Goals

Key Stats:	Newcastle	v	QPR
Goals For	1.5		1.0
Goals Against	1.1		1.8
Goals Total per match	2.6		2.8

Over 2.5 Goals	70%		50%

Time of First Goal	40 mins		25 mins

Stats View: Both teams' Over/ Under 2.5 Goals stats don't match up
well. Newcastle could struggle to get goals now Top Scorer Demba Ba
has gone to the African Cup of Nations - he's got 15 of their 29
goals so far this season. 4 of Newcastle's last 5 home games have
had 3 goals or less. 4 of QPR's last 5 away games have had 3 goals
or less.

No clear First Goal before or after 27th minute trends. The First
Goal has been scored Before 27th Minute in 2 of Newcastle's last 5
home games and in 3 of QPR's last 5 away games.

Stats Picks:

Under 3.5 Goals

Corners

Key Stats:	Newcastle	v	QPR
Corners For	5.8		5.7
Corners Against	3.2		7.1
Corners Total per match	9.0		12.8

Under 10.5 Corners	70%		30%

Average Margin	+2.6		-1.4

Stats View: Newcastle are a strong Under 10.5 Corners team at home.
QPR are a strong Over 10.5 Corners team away.

Newcastle have won the Most Corners in 4 of their last 5 home games.
QPR have been out-cornered in 4 of their last 5 away games.

Stats Picks:

Newcastle Most Corners
Newcastle (-1) Corner Handicap

Cards and Booking Points

Key Stats:	Newcastle	v	QPR
Cards For	1.6		1.4
Cards Against	2.6		1.7
Cards Total per match	4.2		3.1

Over 3.5 Cards	50%		50%

First Card For	30%		40%

Booking Points For	16.0		14.0
Booking Points Against	28.0		17.0
BP Total per match	44.0		31.0

Over 35.5 Booking Points	50%		50%

Stats View: No conclusive Over or Under 3.5 Cards stats and both
teams are averaging a similar amount of Booking Points per game.

It will be Mark Hughes' first game in charge of QPR so you can
expect the Hoops to be fully committed in every tackle, eager to
impress the new manager.

Stats Picks:

QPR to get Most Booking Points

Swansea v Arsenal

Sun 15th Jan, 4pm - live on Sky Sports 1

Goals

Key Stats:	Swansea	v	Arsenal
Goals For	1.2		2.0
Goals Against	0.4		2.2
Goals Total per match	1.6		4.2

Under 2.5 Goals	80%		20%

Time of First Goal	28 mins		25 mins

Stats View: Opposite Over/ Under 2.5 Goals stats. All of Swansea's
last 5 home games have had 2 goals or less. 4 of Arsenal's last 5
away games have had 3 goals or more.

The First Goal has been scored Before 30th Minute in 4 of Arsenal's
last 5 away games. The First Goal has only been scored Before 30th Minute
in 2 of Swansea's last 5 home games.

Man City, Man Utd, Tottenham, Chelsea and Arsenal have all scored
the First Goal of the game against Swansea so far.

Stats Picks:

Arsenal to score the First Goal

Corners

Key Stats:	Swansea	v	Arsenal
Corners For	6.3		6.7
Corners Against	5.5		3.9
Corners Total per match	11.8		10.6

Over 10.5 Corners	70%		30%

Average Margin	+0.8		+2.8

Stats View: Two strong corner winners playing each other here. Both
are averaging around 6.0 corners For per home and away game. But
Arsenal are restricting their opponents to 3.9 corners, while
Swansea are conceding 5.5 corners.

Arsenal have won the Most Corners in 4 of their last 5 away games.
But, Swansea have out-cornered both Man Utd and Tottenham at home
this season and won the Most Corners at the Emirates.

Swansea's last 3 home games have all had 11 or more corners. Only 1
of Arsenal's last 5 away games have had 11 or more corners.

Stats Picks:

No strong Over or Under 10.5 Corners stats and a really tough
one to call when it comes to who's going to win the Most Corners

Cards and Booking Points

Key Stats:	Swansea	v	Arsenal
Cards For	1.4		2.8
Cards Against	2.8		2.3
Cards Total per match	4.2		5.1

Under 3.5 Cards	60%		40%

First Card For	30%		70%

Booking Points For	14.0		29.5
Booking Points Against	28.5		23.5
BP Total per match	42.5		53.0

Under 35.5 Booking Points	60%		40%

Stats View: Arsenal are currently averaging 15.5 Booking Points MORE
than Swansea. Swansea's opponents have received the Most Booking
Points in 4 of their last 5 home games.

Swansea's opponents have received the First Card in 7 of their 10
home games. Arsenal have got the First Card in 7 of their 10 away
games.

No standout Over or Under 3.5 Cards trends. 3 of Swansea's last 5
home games have gone 'Under', 3 of Arsenal's last 5 away have gone
'Over'.

Stats Picks:

Arsenal to get Most Booking Points
Arsenal First Card

Wigan v Man City

Mon 16th Jan, 8pm - live on Sky Sports 1

Goals

Key Stats:	Wigan	v	Man City
Goals For	1.0		2.5
Goals Against	2.0		1.2
Goals Total per match	3.0		3.7

Over 2.5 Goals	50%		70%

Time of First Goal	28 mins		34 mins

Stats View: No strong Over/ Under 2.5 Goals stats. Wigan's last 5
home games have produced goal totals of 6, 4, 2, 0 and 5. Man City's
away games have produced 5, 2, 3, 0 and 1.

The First Goal has been scored After 27th Minute in 3 of Wigan's
last 5 home games and in 3 of Man City's last 5 away games. It took
Arsenal 28 mins to score first at the DW and Chelsea until the 59th
minute.

Stats Picks:

First Goal - After 27th Minute

Corners

Key Stats:	Wigan	v	Man City
Corners For	6.4		5.7
Corners Against	5.6		5.6
Corners Total per match	12.0		11.3

Under 10.5 Corners	60%		30%

Average Margin	+0.8		+0.1

Stats View: Both teams are averaging around 6.0 corners For, 5.0
Against per home and away game. Wigan have won Most Corners in 7 of
their 10 home games but have been out-cornered by Tottenham, Arsenal
and Liverpool. City have won the Most Corners in 5 of their 10 away
games - including their last 2.

The corner totals in Wigan's last 5 home games have been 10, 9, 12,
21 and 14 - that's an average of 13.2 corners. City's last 5 away
games have produced totals of 4, 13, 6, 14 and 11 - an average of
9.6 corners.

Stats Picks:

Over 9 Corners

Cards and Booking Points

Key Stats:	Wigan	v	Man City
Cards For	2.2		2.2
Cards Against	2.1		1.9
Cards Total per match	4.3		4.1

Over 3.5 Cards	60%		40%

First Card For	50%		60%

Booking Points For	22.5		23.0
Booking Points Against	21.5		20.5
BP Total per match	44.0		43.5

Over 35.5 Booking Points	60%		40%

Stats View: Both teams are averaging a similar amount of Booking
Points For and Against. The Cards Total averages point towards the
game producing at least 4.0 cards.

Stats Picks:

Over 3.5 Cards

The Best of the Rest...

Here are the best stats from the non-televised games this weekend...

Liverpool v Stoke

Sat 14th Jan, 3pm

Corners

Key Stats:	Liverpool	v	Stoke
Corners For	9.5		3.9
Corners Against	3.3		7.2
Corners Total per match	12.8		11.1

Over 10.5 Corners	70%		70%

Average Margin	+6.2		-3.3

Stats View: Liverpool are averaging 6.2 corners MORE than their
opponents at home. Stoke are averaging 3.3 corners LESS than their
opponents per away game. Liverpool have won the Most Corners in all
10 of their home games. Stoke have been out-cornered in 8 of their
10 away games.

There have been 11 or more corners in 4 of Liverpool's last 5 home
games and in 4 of Stoke's last 5 away games.

Stats Picks:

Liverpool Most Corners
Liverpool (-3) Corner Handicap
Over 10 Corners

Man Utd v Bolton

Sat 14th Jan, 3pm

Goals

Key Stats:	Man Utd	v	Bolton
Over 2.5 Goals	70%		80%
Goals Total per match	4.4		3.3

Stats View: There have been 5 goals scored in each of Man Utd's last
3 home games. 4 of Bolton's last 5 away games have had 3 goals or
more.

Stats Picks:

Over 2.5 Goals

Corners

Key Stats:	Man Utd	v	Bolton
Most Corners	80%		20%
Average Margin	+5.0		-2.3

Stats View: Man Utd are currently averaging 5.0 corners MORE than
their opponents at home. Bolton are averaging 2.3 corners LESS than
their opponents per away game. United have won the Most Corners in 8
of their 10 home games. Bolton have been out-cornered in 8 of their
10 away games.

Stats Picks:

Man Utd Most Corners
Man Utd (-2) Corner Handicap

Chelsea v Sunderland

Sat 14th Jan, 3pm

Corners

Key Stats:	Chelsea	v	Sunderland
Most Corners	80%		20%
Average Margin	+2.6		-2.2

Stats View: Chelsea are averaging 2.6 corners MORE than their
opponents. Sunderland are averaging 2.2 corners LESS than their
opponents. Chelsea have won the Most Corners in 8 of their 10 home
games. Sunderland have been out-cornered in 8 of their 10 away
games.

Stats Picks:

Chelsea Most Corners
Chelsea (-2) Corner Handicap

Tottenham v Wolves

Sat 14th Jan, 3pm

Corners

Key Stats:	Tottenham	v	Wolves
Most Corners	90%		20%
Average Margin	+3.3		-3.5

Stats View: Tottenham are averaging 3.3 corners MORE than their
opponents at home. Wolves are averaging 3.5 corners LESS than their
opponents per away game. Tottenham have won the Most Corners in 9 of
their 10 home games. Wolves have been out-cornered in 8 of their 10
away games.

Stats Picks:

Tottenham Most Corners
Tottenham (-3) Corner Handicap

Top Trends...

Here are some other trends to be on the look out for this weekend...

Chelsea v Sunderland

There have been between 10 and 12 corners in 7 of Chelsea's
last 9 games. Sunderland's away games are producing an average of
11.4 corners.

Tottenham v Wolves

Tottenham have won 'To Nil' in 5 of their last 6 home games.
Tottenham have scored the First Goal after 21st minute in 5 of
their last 6 games.

Here are the results in full for last night's bets on the game at
White Hart Lane...